[{"id":"2063134","question":"Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?","conditionId":"0x7d0aaf81bbd3fd73b6a1651cce08a452c0cbf9c0cbb4520ce0f981065b639d88","slug":"will-adanech-abiebie-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"31300.39507","startDate":"2026-04-27T21:55:14.576Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-adanech-abiebie-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-7nUlSNmvB5IN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-adanech-abiebie-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-7nUlSNmvB5IN.png","description":"General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]","volume":"57016682.997077174","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-23T22:32:51.276002Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Adanech Abiebie","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x55ab76d092f682bf5cbb7e14f13ee12f8410ce7cc1b7906f23b8fb56c11f6506","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":57016682.997077174,"liquidityNum":31300.39507,"endDateIso":"2026-06-01","startDateIso":"2026-04-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5325037.31,"volume1wk":12970715.233994002,"volume1mo":29885916.790501133,"volume1yr":57016682.997075066,"clobTokenIds":"[\"27146956652877944551877724690365745048289675287536243265951843487691050802191\", \"33216695217861742195941369663873573949679634432452142092545486849801915283392\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5325037.31,"volume1wkClob":12970715.233994002,"volume1moClob":29885916.790501133,"volume1yrClob":57016682.997075066,"volumeClob":57016682.997077174,"liquidityClob":31300.39507,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x55ab76d092f682bf5cbb7e14f13ee12f8410ce7cc1b7906f23b8fb56c11f6500","negRiskRequestID":"0x8f41e93fb2ebd2b33e72d54940bee621cf7eac4ce795a2403256e4263cba0bf1","events":[{"id":"411239","ticker":"next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia","slug":"next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia","title":"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?","description":"General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-04-27T21:54:39.652Z","creationDate":"2026-04-27T21:59:07.041524Z","endDate":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ethiopia-parliamentary-election-winner-ofkn9mmT2_id.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ethiopia-parliamentary-election-winner-ofkn9mmT2_id.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":183015.3564,"volume":240810971.1532983,"openInterest":36301.76197,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-04-23T22:32:48.837685Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:27.119774Z","competitive":0.832223009135312,"volume24hr":5377082.536594,"volume1wk":16741473.119812,"volume1mo":117824902.3360852,"volume1yr":199537801.93869913,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":183015.3564,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x55ab76d092f682bf5cbb7e14f13ee12f8410ce7cc1b7906f23b8fb56c11f6500","commentCount":33,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-01T17:00:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:45:06.147539Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Abiy Ahmed’s commanding position in the market stems from the Prosperity Party’s expected landslide in Ethiopia’s June 1, 2026 parliamentary elections, which determines the prime minister. The party secured a parliamentary majority amid a fragmented opposition, security disruptions that suspended voting in parts of Oromia and Amhara, and the exclusion of Tigray from the ballot. As the incumbent since 2018, Abiy faces minimal institutional or party challenges to another term. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden parliamentary defections, major health developments, or unforeseen constitutional maneuvers, though none appear imminent given current vote counts and party control.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:37.860Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:53:54Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8019188313797254,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.003,"lastTradePrice":0.003,"bestBid":0.002,"bestAsk":0.004,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:49:18.193461Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1654957","question":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?","conditionId":"0x4ede078cae84a5877ac32d7fb48811e5c23549a1904b7df06ff7935c6d79d831","slug":"will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-july-2026-meeting","endDate":"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"3098693.04483","startDate":"2026-03-20T00:12:36.429499Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. 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The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. 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(e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]","volume":"24019922.780932855","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-19T20:51:50.722515Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"50+ bps increase","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x40fd26ada6f086ebd83f34012327c0914d56154faf3fa36d912468c2532f3404","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":24019922.780932855,"liquidityNum":2745299.23967,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-03-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3212048.038400001,"volume1wk":8517880.64702999,"volume1mo":19780493.3296389,"volume1yr":24019922.780932803,"clobTokenIds":"[\"55547507942649396203839937021705347989082320770224485499197798791654376614809\", \"82752177927542167404038816431416174971863195141383694610771473564093425601859\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3212048.038400001,"volume1wkClob":8517880.64702999,"volume1moClob":19780493.3296389,"volume1yrClob":24019922.780932803,"volumeClob":24019922.780932855,"liquidityClob":2745299.23967,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x40fd26ada6f086ebd83f34012327c0914d56154faf3fa36d912468c2532f3400","negRiskRequestID":"0x996b153c2fb0d970381f0a922076d9412f0c20d42c6526623474444754c1d1b7","events":[{"id":"287395","ticker":"fed-decision-in-july-181","slug":"fed-decision-in-july-181","title":"Fed Decision in July?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. 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The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. 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The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. 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The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. 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The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.2265\", \"0.7735\"]","volume":"23227806.095206168","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-19T20:51:50.165369Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"25 bps increase","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x40fd26ada6f086ebd83f34012327c0914d56154faf3fa36d912468c2532f3403","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":23227806.095206168,"liquidityNum":193802.5583,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-03-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1604705.4842840028,"volume1wk":6000668.690727998,"volume1mo":16427661.476836134,"volume1yr":23227806.095206287,"clobTokenIds":"[\"10547381015916960267379463101229159185405356924982461726471550099674011526491\", \"102979714187432523726496609637889951679226430871494531752837414533106422105296\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1604705.4842840028,"volume1wkClob":6000668.690727998,"volume1moClob":16427661.476836134,"volume1yrClob":23227806.095206287,"volumeClob":23227806.095206168,"liquidityClob":193802.5583,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x40fd26ada6f086ebd83f34012327c0914d56154faf3fa36d912468c2532f3400","negRiskRequestID":"0x3934303b3997937f1665091e62818ba3e2b31b9a65d3318b3c7769b73f87492c","events":[{"id":"287395","ticker":"fed-decision-in-july-181","slug":"fed-decision-in-july-181","title":"Fed Decision in July?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. 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With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the June decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh, market-implied odds heavily favor no change at 79.5%, reflecting caution as June CPI data arrives July 14. Modest 19.4% pricing for a 25 basis point hike incorporates dot-plot signals that nine officials anticipate at least one increase this year, while negligible probabilities for cuts underscore limited downside risks given resilient labor markets and elevated Treasury yields. 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However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.","outcomes":"[\"Kiwoom DRX\", \"Nongshim Red Force\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]","volume":"1177621.4933970012","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-15T08:00:29.716376Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Game 2 Winner","questionID":"0x02cf5e7ec16193db9bdc51b3545f9df4717f6efb35e1b6faadf36f7babd1e52e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1177621.4933970012,"liquidityNum":546856.13137,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-07-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1177609.0600649994,"volume1wk":1177621.4933969995,"volume1mo":1177621.4933969995,"volume1yr":1177621.4933969995,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-29 08:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":"[\"103571541388540797188675210796137540235836253758187660366648677646356255933450\", \"68002605401712583149266296920626892520704627424668931680820389755542508437933\"]","positionIds":["806326620651570724653973609615632434158015826251694829147503005552410099712","806326620651570724653973609615632434158015826251694829147503005552410099713"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":1177609.0600649994,"volume1wkClob":1177621.4933969995,"volume1moClob":1177621.4933969995,"volume1yrClob":1177621.4933969995,"volumeClob":1177621.4933970012,"liquidityClob":546856.13137,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"705740","ticker":"lol-drx-ns-2026-07-29","slug":"lol-drx-ns-2026-07-29","title":"LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Kiwoom DRX\" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against Nongshim Red Force.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Nongshim Red Force\" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against Kiwoom DRX.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","resolutionSource":"https://www.twitch.tv/lck","startDate":"2026-07-15T08:03:19.861944Z","creationDate":"2026-07-15T08:05:11.153639Z","endDate":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":2367102.8126,"volume":3009527.478108001,"openInterest":1810750.6122380001,"createdAt":"2026-07-15T08:00:27.089534Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:30.558268Z","competitive":0.8035160254240507,"volume24hr":3001848.3352210005,"volume1wk":3009061.6487990003,"volume1mo":3009527.4781080005,"volume1yr":3009527.4781080005,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":2367102.8126,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10311","ticker":"league-of-legends","slug":"league-of-legends","title":"League of Legends","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-09-18T23:42:43.476657Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":11217674.092165,"volume":25171672.141412,"liquidity":8404766.53729,"commentCount":8738,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-29","startTime":"2026-07-29T08:00:00Z","eventWeek":1,"seriesSlug":"league-of-legends","score":"000-000|0-2|Bo3","period":"2/3","live":false,"ended":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":1568902,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Both teams enter this LCK Rounds 3-4 Rise Group BO3 after struggling through the 2026 split, posting similar 5-13 records in Rounds 1-2 that left them outside playoff contention. Nongshim RedForce fields a more experienced core featuring mid laner Scout alongside Kingen, Sponge, Diable, and Lehends, giving them an edge in mid-lane control and teamfight execution compared to Kiwoom DRX's rebranded roster. Head-to-head results earlier in the year favored DRX in select BO3s, but Nongshim's stronger overall roster depth and recent practice emphasis on macro play shape trader consensus around the series outcome. 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JD Vance benefits from his vice-presidential role in the current administration, while Marco Rubio's recent polling gains as secretary of state and Gavin Newsom's status as a leading Democratic figure keep the top three within a narrow band. The approaching 2026 midterms, potential candidate announcements after November, and hypothetical matchup polls showing shifts among Republicans and Democrats sustain the tight spread. 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However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","outcomes":"[\"Kiwoom DRX\", \"Nongshim Red Force\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]","volume":"894123.7192039993","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-15T08:00:59.949071Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Match Winner","questionID":"0x6b69382f8d3f5ef8c5c211906286afab111e502eab8872c37b5b192fe4019a2a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":894123.7192039993,"liquidityNum":866756.97093,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-07-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":886935.3516570005,"volume1wk":893661.3381680005,"volume1mo":894123.7192040004,"volume1yr":894123.7192040004,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-29 08:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":"[\"46197305097077039931852087458892006179625069063196195462934751482150561013302\", \"19253596955895064939693767900265163520232524064146679171250301920280524237883\"]","positionIds":["727077127855369539681982423398662539814927579821578829349480267866949287936","727077127855369539681982423398662539814927579821578829349480267866949287937"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":886935.3516570005,"volume1wkClob":893661.3381680005,"volume1moClob":894123.7192040004,"volume1yrClob":894123.7192040004,"volumeClob":894123.7192039993,"liquidityClob":866756.97093,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"705740","ticker":"lol-drx-ns-2026-07-29","slug":"lol-drx-ns-2026-07-29","title":"LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Kiwoom DRX\" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against Nongshim Red Force.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Nongshim Red Force\" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against Kiwoom DRX.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","resolutionSource":"https://www.twitch.tv/lck","startDate":"2026-07-15T08:03:19.861944Z","creationDate":"2026-07-15T08:05:11.153639Z","endDate":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":2367102.8126,"volume":3009527.478108001,"openInterest":1810750.6122380001,"createdAt":"2026-07-15T08:00:27.089534Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:30.558268Z","competitive":0.8035160254240507,"volume24hr":3001848.3352210005,"volume1wk":3009061.6487990003,"volume1mo":3009527.4781080005,"volume1yr":3009527.4781080005,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":2367102.8126,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10311","ticker":"league-of-legends","slug":"league-of-legends","title":"League of Legends","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-09-18T23:42:43.476657Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":11217674.092165,"volume":25171672.141412,"liquidity":8404766.53729,"commentCount":8738,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-29","startTime":"2026-07-29T08:00:00Z","eventWeek":1,"seriesSlug":"league-of-legends","score":"000-000|0-2|Bo3","period":"2/3","live":false,"ended":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":1568902,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Both teams enter this LCK Rounds 3-4 Rise Group BO3 after struggling through the 2026 split, posting similar 5-13 records in Rounds 1-2 that left them outside playoff contention. Nongshim RedForce fields a more experienced core featuring mid laner Scout alongside Kingen, Sponge, Diable, and Lehends, giving them an edge in mid-lane control and teamfight execution compared to Kiwoom DRX's rebranded roster. Head-to-head results earlier in the year favored DRX in select BO3s, but Nongshim's stronger overall roster depth and recent practice emphasis on macro play shape trader consensus around the series outcome. Schedule position in the new group phase and any late roster tweaks remain key variables.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-15T09:00:18.421Z","gridSeriesId":"2972470","league":"LCK","leagueTier":"2","pandascoreMatchId":1568902,"tournament":"Round 3-4 Rise Group"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-15T08:03:02Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.3745,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0995,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.3545,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"gameId":"1568902","sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-15T08:01:30.927805Z","rfqEnabled":false,"eventStartTime":"2026-07-29T08:00:00Z","holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2937524","question":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","conditionId":"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-by-july-24-20260715194822044","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"69419.69462","startDate":"2026-07-15T19:54:39.33912Z","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Iran as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (ET) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, the action will be judged based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of the United States and Iran and credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]","volume":"2843111.240152008","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-15T19:52:20.303031Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 24","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xc245d81b3ecf3aee7e1f30a6d2b38c58950279d2da87c698be100f28edc9707d","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2843111.240152008,"liquidityNum":69419.69462,"endDateIso":"2026-07-24","startDateIso":"2026-07-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":719549.165074,"volume1wk":2149746.6763919992,"volume1mo":2843111.2401520004,"volume1yr":2843111.2401520004,"clobTokenIds":"[\"113410960838036610177054042201506207817797370827970598802492258356512540837137\", \"86061825988167227130786985582830419834226509797189675226118388137342919202672\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":719549.165074,"volume1wkClob":2149746.6763919992,"volume1moClob":2843111.2401520004,"volume1yrClob":2843111.2401520004,"volumeClob":2843111.240152008,"liquidityClob":69419.69462,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"707496","ticker":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Iran as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (ET) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, the action will be judged based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of the United States and Iran and credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-15T19:54:20.028056Z","creationDate":"2026-07-15T19:56:52.327612Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":287932.26076,"volume":5948891.140129997,"openInterest":1144839.292752,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-15T19:52:19.828731Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:27.38163Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":1148867.9672119997,"volume1wk":3939856.6923700063,"volume1mo":5409924.011827004,"volume1yr":5409924.011827004,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":287932.26076,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":225,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":10,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have strained the April 2026 US-Iran ceasefire, with Iranian forces attacking commercial vessels in early July prompting US strikes on Iranian assets and renewed naval blockade measures. President Trump described the truce as over while signaling openness to continued talks, amid mutual threats of broader retaliation and Iranian efforts to assert control over shipping routes. Diplomatic channels involving mediators persist, focused on freedom of navigation, sanctions relief, and de-escalation timelines, though intermittent exchanges of fire continue. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether a verifiable two-week pause can stabilize amid these violations and competing interpretations of prior agreements.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-15T20:00:11.823Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-15T19:53:50Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9669075878072954,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"917894","conditionId":"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1000,"startDate":"2026-07-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.008,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.2135,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.033,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.22,"lastTradePrice":0.32,"bestBid":0.311,"bestAsk":0.319,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-15T19:52:27.166251Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2176262","question":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","conditionId":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"536003.21098","startDate":"2026-05-11T13:14:49.964Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]","volume":"22300748.743592296","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-06T17:41:53.47634Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xf547768bd6c6562ec16d97692e3b559c267d054fea0a21bf3a0caa3d7a622efe","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":22300748.743592296,"liquidityNum":536003.21098,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":719168.0935320004,"volume1wk":3006193.767043008,"volume1mo":11547237.774859978,"volume1yr":22301038.74359216,"clobTokenIds":"[\"106929013576622300718402895513457875547556389240247806666273814836599548721421\", \"35600405023007026690792769618276046675588493623969149550929635257490271313011\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":719168.0935320004,"volume1wkClob":3006193.767043008,"volume1moClob":11547237.774859978,"volume1yrClob":22301038.74359216,"volumeClob":22300748.743592296,"liquidityClob":536003.21098,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"455867","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-11T13:14:49.964Z","creationDate":"2026-05-11T13:18:59.354225Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":536828.80859,"volume":22300748.743592296,"openInterest":3759673.697008,"createdAt":"2026-05-06T17:41:53.276242Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:31.892078Z","competitive":0.8022384055993032,"volume24hr":719208.2335320004,"volume1wk":3006193.767043008,"volume1mo":11547237.774859978,"volume1yr":22301038.74359216,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":536828.80859,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11492","ticker":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","slug":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","title":"Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-31T18:45:41.417299Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1519930.9020360007,"volume":33394490.880643275,"liquidity":1840130.81732,"commentCount":3851,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent US-Iran framework agreement on reopening the Strait has lifted near-term hopes for normalized shipping, yet persistent security risks, de-mining requirements, and elevated insurance premiums continue to constrain vessel transits to a fraction of the pre-February 2026 average of roughly 100 daily passages. With traffic data showing minimal movement since the June 10 closure announcement and hundreds of vessels still stranded, traders price in a narrow window for full recovery by July 31. Key swing factors include any verified de-escalation milestones or renewed incidents that could accelerate or further delay insurer and shipper confidence, directly influencing implied probabilities around this critical oil chokepoint.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:58.032Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-11T13:13:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8022384055993032,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.007,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.3715,"lastTradePrice":0.004,"bestBid":0.003,"bestAsk":0.004,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-11T12:59:34.01339Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3077397","question":"LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend","conditionId":"0xe4d4169109344a6ec2d8ccb707c0e9a035bb172449e9808c39dd889c748cf8b8","slug":"lol-tes-al-2026-07-29","resolutionSource":"https://gol.gg/esports/home","endDate":"2026-07-29T15:00:00Z","liquidity":"163101.0397","startDate":"2026-07-24T05:31:01Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Top Esports\" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Anyone's Legend\" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","outcomes":"[\"Top Esports\", \"Anyone's Legend\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]","volume":"636033.8801130024","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-24T05:30:41.858999Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Match Winner","questionID":"0xea429e77d017ff9b9c19853f7e7ce377a247f21a0a4128236e2f71dd3b1517c1","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":636033.8801130024,"liquidityNum":163101.0397,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-07-24","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":623217.6149800002,"volume1wk":636033.8801130002,"volume1mo":636033.8801130002,"volume1yr":636033.8801130002,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-29 09:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":"[\"93313852902290831842522371180750893842216437093834002455778539889072239971861\", \"53925690273842762850042055083716207628188705861014286069491096265910845457048\"]","positionIds":["547246993483792119445042122518854667937255278422162265893661684241407148032","547246993483792119445042122518854667937255278422162265893661684241407148033"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"1.5","volume24hrClob":623217.6149800002,"volume1wkClob":636033.8801130002,"volume1moClob":636033.8801130002,"volume1yrClob":636033.8801130002,"volumeClob":636033.8801130024,"liquidityClob":163101.0397,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"742039","ticker":"lol-tes-al-2026-07-29","slug":"lol-tes-al-2026-07-29","title":"LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Top Esports\" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Anyone's Legend\" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. 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TES carries momentum from a strong Split 1 finish and consistent playoff appearances, relying on experienced roster pieces in the mid and bot lanes to control map tempo. AL has shown competitive early-series results but faces tougher schedule spots against higher-seeded sides. Recent form, home-region patch familiarity, and individual player conditioning on short rest will shape outcomes in this best-of-three format, where small execution edges often decide series in the tight Group Ascend standings race.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:00:13.163Z","gridSeriesId":null,"league":"LPL","leagueTier":"2","pandascoreMatchId":1585262,"tournament":"Group Ascend"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-24T05:31:01Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9433739770288437,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1049670","conditionId":"0xe4d4169109344a6ec2d8ccb707c0e9a035bb172449e9808c39dd889c748cf8b8","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1106,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":250,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.21,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.21,"lastTradePrice":0.26,"bestBid":0.25,"bestAsk":0.26,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"gameId":"1585262","sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-24T05:30:46.181843Z","rfqEnabled":false,"eventStartTime":"2026-07-29T09:00:00Z","holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2933034","question":"LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group","conditionId":"0xbf05e75ff7476d041f128db78160a0153af5ca46e5016c85fcc3bb8b50612319","slug":"lol-t1-kt-2026-07-29","resolutionSource":"https://gol.gg/esports/home","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","liquidity":"185888.8642","startDate":"2026-07-15T10:04:17.360954Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"T1\" if T1 win the match against KT Rolster.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"KT Rolster\" if KT Rolster win the match against T1.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. 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However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","resolutionSource":"https://www.twitch.tv/lck","startDate":"2026-07-15T10:03:38.27041Z","creationDate":"2026-07-15T10:06:48.944585Z","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":693294.666,"volume":739288.6973199997,"openInterest":478023.4568,"createdAt":"2026-07-15T10:00:36.70684Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:45.305064Z","competitive":1,"volume24hr":715363.9925449999,"volume1wk":737513.9553289998,"volume1mo":739288.6973199999,"volume1yr":739288.6973199999,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":693294.666,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10311","ticker":"league-of-legends","slug":"league-of-legends","title":"League of Legends","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-09-18T23:42:43.476657Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":11217674.092165,"volume":25171672.141412,"liquidity":8404766.53729,"commentCount":8738,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-29","startTime":"2026-07-29T10:00:00Z","eventWeek":1,"seriesSlug":"league-of-legends","score":"0-1|0-0|Bo3","period":"1/3","live":true,"ended":false,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":1568901,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"T1 enters the LCK Rounds 3-4 Legend Group matchup against KT Rolster with strong recent form, including multiple 2-0 series wins over KT earlier in 2026 across LCK Cup and regular season play. T1 sits near the top of overall standings with consistent map control and late-game execution, bolstered by veteran roster stability and playoff implications. KT Rolster has posted competitive results in the new Legend Group (currently 2-0 in early weeks) but trails T1 in head-to-head history and overall series win rate. Key variables include patch adaptations, mid-lane matchup dynamics, and how both teams manage draft priority in the best-of-three format, with T1's experience in high-stakes LCK series providing a notable edge in trader consensus.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-15T11:00:14.492Z","gridSeriesId":"3","league":"LCK","leagueTier":"2","pandascoreMatchId":1568901,"tournament":"Round 3-4 Legend Group"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-15T10:03:28Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9044657998869418,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1049919","conditionId":"0xbf05e75ff7476d041f128db78160a0153af5ca46e5016c85fcc3bb8b50612319","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":72,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":250,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.04,"oneHourPriceChange":0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.105,"lastTradePrice":0.83,"bestBid":0.82,"bestAsk":0.83,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"gameId":"1568901","sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-15T10:01:34.879374Z","rfqEnabled":false,"eventStartTime":"2026-07-29T10:00:00Z","holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2967837","question":"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?","conditionId":"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a","slug":"will-the-us-announce-an-iran-ceasefire-by-july-31-20260718000915875","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"10763634.82595","startDate":"2026-07-18T01:59:48.167091Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture). A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated. An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran. For example, a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations would not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present cessation or suspension of offensive military action against Iran, previously-unannounced prior cessation or suspension of such military action, or definitive decision to cease or suspend such military action.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to US offensive military action against Iran, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference a ceasefire by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending offensive military action against Iran is clearly and unambiguously communicated.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.\n\nThe following do not qualify:\nAnonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;\nStatements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government;\nThird-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to military action;\nSatirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;\nAnnouncements or acceptances of a ceasefire attributed only to Iran, mediating states, or any party other than the United States; and\nStatements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to military action rather than announcing a present and decided position.\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether military action actually ends in practice.\n\nResolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]","volume":"3802042.571667999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-18T01:57:41.680024Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x0f287d9674f674b1ce8d9ab36b55dbceae03f2ae490074df3ad4268fc42106df","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":3802042.571667999,"liquidityNum":10763634.82595,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-18","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":590872.07,"volume1wk":3665296.109098003,"volume1mo":3802042.5716680028,"volume1yr":3802042.5716680028,"clobTokenIds":"[\"3109457852846752249033108874039158826560100606171171798422919230059617165695\", \"23134377612753875271476799588619866547717423971821044672490624783105026726769\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":590872.07,"volume1wkClob":3665296.109098003,"volume1moClob":3802042.5716680028,"volume1yrClob":3802042.5716680028,"volumeClob":3802042.571667999,"liquidityClob":10763634.82595,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"715891","ticker":"us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096","slug":"us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096","title":"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture). A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated. An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran. For example, a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations would not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present cessation or suspension of offensive military action against Iran, previously-unannounced prior cessation or suspension of such military action, or definitive decision to cease or suspend such military action.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to US offensive military action against Iran, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference a ceasefire by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending offensive military action against Iran is clearly and unambiguously communicated.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.\n\nThe following do not qualify:\nAnonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;\nStatements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government;\nThird-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to military action;\nSatirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;\nAnnouncements or acceptances of a ceasefire attributed only to Iran, mediating states, or any party other than the United States; and\nStatements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to military action rather than announcing a present and decided position.\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether military action actually ends in practice.\n\nResolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-18T01:59:48.167091Z","creationDate":"2026-07-18T02:01:17.27398Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-announce-an-iran-ceasefire-by-JBxUYsGvggYB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-announce-an-iran-ceasefire-by-JBxUYsGvggYB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":23293487.74856,"volume":5347971.972258,"openInterest":2979663.1265350003,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-18T01:57:40.507029Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:27.764468Z","competitive":0.8003199679231757,"volume24hr":842236.69,"volume1wk":4405064.472374002,"volume1mo":4653516.8541100025,"volume1yr":4653516.8541100025,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":23293487.74856,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":179,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":15,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent US-Iran hostilities in the Gulf, centered on Strait of Hormuz access and naval blockades, have featured repeated cycles of strikes, retaliatory actions, and short-lived pauses. A June 17 memorandum of understanding outlined an interim ceasefire and reopened shipping lanes, yet violations prompted US strikes on Iranian military sites in late June, followed by Iranian responses and mutual stand-down agreements announced around June 28. Early July saw further tit-for-tat exchanges collapse the interim deal, prompting President Trump to pause offensive operations after two days of strikes amid funeral proceedings for Iran's former supreme leader and renewed diplomatic outreach. Technical talks in Qatar and Gulf state mediation continue, with traders tracking any formal US announcement halting further military action against Iranian targets. Upcoming negotiation deadlines and potential Iranian compliance on uranium stockpile limits or shipping guarantees remain key variables that could trigger resolution.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-18T02:00:11.034Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-18T01:58:58Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.7445,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-18T01:57:57.412346Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2774056","question":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","conditionId":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"603908.2674","startDate":"2026-07-02T21:49:34.448693Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for August 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]","volume":"3803317.069160989","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-02T20:43:26.375208Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xdd850af7646a3fee315f2dd27e94bbc4680dbf4c231d12be3c35c522a10c44fa","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3803317.069160989,"liquidityNum":603908.2674,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":414964.14767800027,"volume1wk":2151768.9986950005,"volume1mo":3803317.069160996,"volume1yr":3803317.069160996,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105426373826369935595603860663411604941599130211176020843036778867927711117332\", \"90869494087977018607792751230236923002303032923064138180950209430688758061828\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":414964.14767800027,"volume1wkClob":2151768.9986950005,"volume1moClob":3803317.069160996,"volume1yrClob":3803317.069160996,"volumeClob":3803317.069160989,"liquidityClob":603908.2674,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"660108","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for August 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-02T21:49:34.448693Z","creationDate":"2026-07-02T21:51:32.692276Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":808116.98843,"volume":3947414.914227989,"openInterest":1623922.594759,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-02T20:43:25.782197Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:17.916234Z","competitive":0.8590880780051975,"volume24hr":535113.6256430004,"volume1wk":2295870.2575540007,"volume1mo":3947414.914227996,"volume1yr":3947414.914227996,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":808116.98843,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11492","ticker":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","slug":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","title":"Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-31T18:45:41.417299Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1519930.9020360007,"volume":33394490.880643275,"liquidity":1840130.81732,"commentCount":3851,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":19,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations in Doha, following a June interim deal and late-June ship attacks that cut Hormuz transits sharply, underpin the 50% market-implied odds for normal traffic by August 31. Recent volatility in daily crossings—rebounding toward prewar levels before dropping to 22 vessels on one day—reflects shipowner caution amid disputes over Iranian transit fees and route control, elevating war-risk insurance premiums and sustaining elevated oil-price volatility. Progress on unfreezing assets or clarifying navigation rules could accelerate resumption and lift the “yes” side, while any escalation or stalled talks would reinforce downside risks for energy markets.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:00:10.024Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-02T21:48:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"778330","conditionId":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":500,"startDate":"2026-07-04","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.04,"lastTradePrice":0.1,"bestBid":0.09,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-02T20:43:47.072562Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2937525","question":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","conditionId":"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-by-july-31-20260715194822045","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"71382.5175","startDate":"2026-07-15T19:54:32.240747Z","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Iran as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (ET) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, the action will be judged based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of the United States and Iran and credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]","volume":"1594127.8353689904","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-15T19:52:20.438578Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xba80005d6fedae7d2c37f401b56ebd49629708a419dd9e3471c6f8b2099801a9","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1594127.8353689904,"liquidityNum":71382.5175,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":329428.66597499955,"volume1wk":1208030.4829030072,"volume1mo":1594127.8353690042,"volume1yr":1594127.8353690042,"clobTokenIds":"[\"95577979648711137561778638101766617213130581085760544385254830392377913395624\", \"34707224416470630443022501916513884846577205082389077639001965749737041106571\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":329428.66597499955,"volume1wkClob":1208030.4829030072,"volume1moClob":1594127.8353690042,"volume1yrClob":1594127.8353690042,"volumeClob":1594127.8353689904,"liquidityClob":71382.5175,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"707496","ticker":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Iran as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (ET) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, the action will be judged based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of the United States and Iran and credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-15T19:54:20.028056Z","creationDate":"2026-07-15T19:56:52.327612Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":287932.26076,"volume":5948891.140129997,"openInterest":1144839.292752,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-15T19:52:19.828731Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:27.38163Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":1148867.9672119997,"volume1wk":3939856.6923700063,"volume1mo":5409924.011827004,"volume1yr":5409924.011827004,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":287932.26076,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":225,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":10,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have strained the April 2026 US-Iran ceasefire, with Iranian forces attacking commercial vessels in early July prompting US strikes on Iranian assets and renewed naval blockade measures. President Trump described the truce as over while signaling openness to continued talks, amid mutual threats of broader retaliation and Iranian efforts to assert control over shipping routes. Diplomatic channels involving mediators persist, focused on freedom of navigation, sanctions relief, and de-escalation timelines, though intermittent exchanges of fire continue. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether a verifiable two-week pause can stabilize amid these violations and competing interpretations of prior agreements.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-15T20:00:11.823Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-15T19:53:43Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9846153846153846,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"917893","conditionId":"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":300,"startDate":"2026-07-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.17,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.035,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.19,"lastTradePrice":0.38,"bestBid":0.37,"bestAsk":0.38,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-15T19:52:27.193311Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"665374","question":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","conditionId":"0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"483936.3953","startDate":"2025-11-05T17:52:17.414Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]","volume":"49021136.300993785","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-04T19:52:57.799278Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x132f882f851badfe460732d16fa20309910759adc990d9073e9f77ad6387d7c2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":49021136.300993785,"liquidityNum":483936.3953,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-05","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":269662.7303870001,"volume1wk":2979796.5893580015,"volume1mo":10060817.794045035,"volume1yr":49023078.84576179,"clobTokenIds":"[\"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123\", \"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":269662.7303870001,"volume1wkClob":2979796.5893580015,"volume1moClob":10060817.794045035,"volume1yrClob":49023078.84576179,"volumeClob":49021136.300993785,"liquidityClob":483936.3953,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"73130","ticker":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-05T17:52:17.414Z","creationDate":"2025-11-05T17:57:04.067296Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":483401.8637,"volume":49021136.300993785,"openInterest":7124947.24941,"createdAt":"2025-11-04T19:52:57.16904Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:46.478728Z","competitive":0.934382956854867,"volume24hr":269662.7303870001,"volume1wk":2979813.256023002,"volume1mo":10060817.794045035,"volume1yr":49023078.84576179,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":483401.8637,"commentCount":1,"series":[{"id":"10135","ticker":"us-to-invade-iran","slug":"us-to-invade-iran","title":"US to invade Iran","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-06-18T18:11:50.701262Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":269662.7303870001,"volume":49021136.300993785,"liquidity":483401.8637,"commentCount":1078,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"us-to-invade-iran","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"**Recent diplomatic progress has reinforced trader expectations that the United States will avoid a ground invasion of Iran before 2027.** After joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes beginning February 28, 2026, which targeted Iranian military infrastructure and leadership but stopped short of deploying U.S. ground forces, a ceasefire took hold in April. Tensions then centered on the Strait of Hormuz blockade before a June 14 memorandum of understanding established a framework for ending hostilities, reopening maritime traffic, providing sanctions relief, and launching 60-day nuclear talks. The agreement, scheduled for formal signing on June 19 in Geneva, reflects a preference for negotiated limits on Iran’s programs over territorial occupation. U.S. officials, including President Trump, have signaled ongoing skepticism toward large-scale troop commitments, consistent with the limited scope of prior operations and the rapid pivot to diplomacy. These developments have aligned prediction-market pricing with the low near-term probability of an invasion.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:17:54.897Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-05T17:51:55Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.934382956854867,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"288102","conditionId":"0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":300,"startDate":"2026-04-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.06,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.09,"lastTradePrice":0.23,"bestBid":0.23,"bestAsk":0.24,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-05T17:51:26.087788Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3158942","question":"Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild","conditionId":"0x33e73113b2f55a9072465599d2b485b50f13071355dab07ad6acf158fc4dc43f","slug":"atp-kumstat-wild-2026-07-29","resolutionSource":"https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current","endDate":"2026-08-05T09:00:00Z","liquidity":"343832.42143","startDate":"2026-07-28T16:05:19Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/atp-tour-b4390c4fb8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/atp-tour-b4390c4fb8.jpg","description":"This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Jan Kumstat.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Jan Kumstat\", \"Thiago Seyboth Wild\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.994\", \"0.006\"]","volume":"265152.4355730002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-28T16:00:35.036604Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xfe6d7bd92254076b70ac7d83c819b9be9c466908615811ecad8d9599cec8b7ad","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":265152.4355730002,"liquidityNum":343832.42143,"endDateIso":"2026-08-05","startDateIso":"2026-07-28","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":265152.435573,"volume1wk":265152.435573,"volume1mo":265152.435573,"volume1yr":265152.435573,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-29 09:05:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":"[\"87021167204999935338117068064508226053099193634251313890982463235018647866626\", \"30690006049499756273186392555098021540116886747603020974023318801060337971547\"]","positionIds":["478946878491409777904722638523241610472973734036005707660223197580581928960","478946878491409777904722638523241610472973734036005707660223197580581928961"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.8","volume24hrClob":265152.435573,"volume1wkClob":265152.435573,"volume1moClob":265152.435573,"volume1yrClob":265152.435573,"volumeClob":265152.4355730002,"liquidityClob":343832.42143,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":1800,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"762022","ticker":"atp-kumstat-wild-2026-07-29","slug":"atp-kumstat-wild-2026-07-29","title":"Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild","description":"This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Jan Kumstat.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).\n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" and \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]","volume":"1587800.9516259779","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-25T04:01:34.46313Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ $100","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0x968ef7654706217481f654963f9df6210b078469981f5730f6804f996027d7da","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1587800.9516259779,"liquidityNum":51649.58759,"endDateIso":"2026-08-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-25","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":264999.19229800097,"volume1wk":934596.8697240034,"volume1mo":1579048.8978940046,"volume1yr":1587800.951626005,"gameStartTime":"2026-06-30 21:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"105122145715401868862282894819487928240289369378439043280447797378511530042214\", \"7879725478536356917422362732460515493463084598262424681347350457402251864086\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":264999.19229800097,"volume1wkClob":934596.8697240034,"volume1moClob":1579048.8978940046,"volume1yrClob":1587800.951626005,"volumeClob":1587800.9516259779,"liquidityClob":51649.58759,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"631914","ticker":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","slug":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","title":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","description":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","startDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","creationDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"volume":15117627.465561975,"openInterest":3411637.7951899995,"createdAt":"2026-06-25T04:01:33.457018Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:06.72682Z","competitive":0.9975062344139651,"volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume1wk":5174387.6978560025,"volume1mo":10621351.389759006,"volume1yr":10639210.135073006,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1229592.04421,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10820","ticker":"crude-oil-cl-hit","slug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","title":"Crude Oil (CL) hit__","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2025-12-30T20:23:06.61732Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume":15117627.465561975,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"commentCount":4942,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-25T04:01:00Z","seriesSlug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":8,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent progress toward a US-Iran peace deal and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply eased supply disruption fears that earlier drove WTI above $100/bbl. As of June 25, 2026, front-month WTI futures trade near $70, down sharply from Q2 peaks amid rising global inventories and softening demand. EIA projections highlight accelerating OECD stock draws through Q3 before gradual replenishment, while non-OPEC supply growth and OPEC+ unwind add downward pressure. Traders price in a swift return to surplus conditions, with July resolution likely hinging on the pace of Middle East production restarts and any near-term demand data releases. Volatility remains elevated given lingering geopolitical risks.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-25T05:00:13.274Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-25T04:14:40Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8114749043271088,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0055,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.175,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.047,"lastTradePrice":0.019,"bestBid":0.017,"bestAsk":0.019,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-25T04:01:38.548728Z","rfqEnabled":false,"eventStartTime":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2507607","question":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?","conditionId":"0x7162118722a6abe965c964e8c694ff0f232221d9bb2263bd92e5902633381893","slug":"kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-july-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-06-30T23:55:00Z","liquidity":"286904.45263","startDate":"2026-06-11T17:11:38.712519Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31-j0_GAJMNgJ_G.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31-j0_GAJMNgJ_G.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]","volume":"5525726.439879003","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-11T17:07:44.248967Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x1480ce2a55ba834634501faa13ee32293b075ec00d6f98d1107d7f9ce98e6b92","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":5525726.439879003,"liquidityNum":286904.45263,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-06-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":249351.96566399993,"volume1wk":1473364.6815989993,"volume1mo":4749404.408071006,"volume1yr":5525726.439879007,"clobTokenIds":"[\"61122849617506817837555062824416940793332636909568241444602408963781913414334\", \"46234664383113214034787313853742859435218314985155582830237659971348787896010\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":249351.96566399993,"volume1wkClob":1473364.6815989993,"volume1moClob":4749404.408071006,"volume1yrClob":5525726.439879007,"volumeClob":5525726.439879003,"liquidityClob":286904.45263,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"267102","ticker":"kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","slug":"kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-14T00:25:34.154359Z","creationDate":"2026-03-14T00:25:34.154351Z","endDate":"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31-j0_GAJMNgJ_G.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31-j0_GAJMNgJ_G.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":455500.08411,"volume":67853148.02729245,"openInterest":2889756.8508510003,"createdAt":"2026-03-14T00:02:08.336105Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:22.069702Z","competitive":0.8356367311645914,"volume24hr":304146.4947509999,"volume1wk":2210032.914779,"volume1mo":7391232.9884150075,"volume1yr":8476279.171445007,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":455500.08411,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":503,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"US President Donald Trump has repeatedly stated in recent days that American forces will seize Kharg Island, Iran's primary oil export terminal handling nearly all of its crude shipments, to gain leverage in the ongoing conflict that began in late February 2026 and to pressure Tehran over the Strait of Hormuz. Earlier US airstrikes in March and April targeted Iranian military sites on the island while deliberately avoiding oil infrastructure. Iran has reinforced air defenses and personnel there amid speculation of potential ground operations involving US Marines and airborne units, though analysts highlight risks to global oil markets and Iranian retaliation options. No change in territorial control has occurred, leaving trader assessments focused on diplomatic timelines, force deployments, and escalation thresholds through the summer.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:06:15.094Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-11T17:10:51Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8022384055993032,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.018,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.015,"lastTradePrice":0.003,"bestBid":0.003,"bestAsk":0.004,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-11T17:09:08.162414Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"908713","question":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","conditionId":"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b","slug":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"145013.5271","startDate":"2025-12-10T21:10:25.258Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.745\", \"0.255\"]","volume":"5080581.831516006","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-10T20:33:37.568106Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":true,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xcbe8bf546678ef20023fcc34d4cfb33933c531ba86e97894005301cc52c0898d","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":5080581.831516006,"liquidityNum":145013.5271,"endDateIso":"2026-12-09","startDateIso":"2025-12-10","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":234293.71421100004,"volume1wk":732496.0574350002,"volume1mo":2083956.0579549996,"volume1yr":5080829.851515998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"75028752776148090296091099469912621384650554615761384992997579209329182670110\", \"93005850938352995663334573245996733794924636935158112548608169054144721737755\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":234293.71421100004,"volume1wkClob":732496.0574350002,"volume1moClob":2083956.0579549996,"volume1yrClob":5080829.851515998,"volumeClob":5080581.831516006,"liquidityClob":145013.5271,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"101936","ticker":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","slug":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","title":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-12-10T21:10:25.258Z","creationDate":"2025-12-10T21:11:18.479551Z","endDate":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":143524.6857,"volume":5080581.831516006,"openInterest":1367393.273321,"createdAt":"2025-12-10T20:33:36.67408Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:49.281356Z","competitive":0.9433739770288437,"volume24hr":234293.71421100004,"volume1wk":732496.0574350002,"volume1mo":2083956.0579549996,"volume1yr":5080829.851515998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":143524.6857,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11491","ticker":"fed-rate-hike","slug":"fed-rate-hike","title":"Fed Rate Hike","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-31T16:53:24.018477Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":282940.656116,"volume":6807240.704971006,"liquidity":253642.33241,"commentCount":84,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"fed-rate-hike","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Persistent inflation, recently hitting 4.2% CPI in May amid Middle East-related energy pressures, combined with solid May jobs gains, has shifted trader focus toward potential 2026 tightening at the current 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target. The June FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh left rates unchanged but featured a dot plot where a majority of participants now project at least one hike by year-end, aligning with futures-implied odds near 66% for a 25-basis-point move. This balances against economist consensus favoring a hold through 2026 and the Fed's preference for data-dependent pauses. Key near-term catalysts include the July CPI release, upcoming employment reports, and the next FOMC projections that could clarify whether inflation trajectory or labor resilience tips the path toward hikes.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:56.216Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-10T21:10:04Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9433739770288437,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"351469","conditionId":"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":100,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.15,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.22,"lastTradePrice":0.75,"bestBid":0.74,"bestAsk":0.75,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-10T21:09:36.928982Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"economics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2730117","question":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?","conditionId":"0x7d352ec1d718dd1f2d2fdb93d65fd3908cf34755d1aa45a8697a84d2b5ae1e8e","slug":"will-wti-reach-95-in-july-2026","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","liquidity":"91112.93348","startDate":"2026-06-29T13:14:08.430909Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" or \"Low\" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).\n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" and \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0485\", \"0.9515\"]","volume":"2251438.3251199936","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-29T13:10:27.323648Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ $95","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x4e6fe3659d701de5e29c80b2e8ff7fd85e2bc2cff239de12034416304ccfde05","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2251438.3251199936,"liquidityNum":91112.93348,"endDateIso":"2026-08-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":228310.52810899998,"volume1wk":1080123.9617759995,"volume1mo":2251438.32512,"volume1yr":2251438.32512,"gameStartTime":"2026-06-30 21:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"55689044028128278672494108251217443782536678376777545334307559186551480418539\", \"22380582002052839082465005899114395003938630732672759582910297636521820401881\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":228310.52810899998,"volume1wkClob":1080123.9617759995,"volume1moClob":2251438.32512,"volume1yrClob":2251438.32512,"volumeClob":2251438.3251199936,"liquidityClob":91112.93348,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"631914","ticker":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","slug":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","title":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","description":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","startDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","creationDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"volume":15117627.465561975,"openInterest":3411637.7951899995,"createdAt":"2026-06-25T04:01:33.457018Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:06.72682Z","competitive":0.9975062344139651,"volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume1wk":5174387.6978560025,"volume1mo":10621351.389759006,"volume1yr":10639210.135073006,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1229592.04421,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10820","ticker":"crude-oil-cl-hit","slug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","title":"Crude Oil (CL) hit__","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2025-12-30T20:23:06.61732Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume":15117627.465561975,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"commentCount":4942,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-25T04:01:00Z","seriesSlug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":8,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent progress toward a US-Iran peace deal and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply eased supply disruption fears that earlier drove WTI above $100/bbl. As of June 25, 2026, front-month WTI futures trade near $70, down sharply from Q2 peaks amid rising global inventories and softening demand. EIA projections highlight accelerating OECD stock draws through Q3 before gradual replenishment, while non-OPEC supply growth and OPEC+ unwind add downward pressure. Traders price in a swift return to surplus conditions, with July resolution likely hinging on the pace of Middle East production restarts and any near-term demand data releases. 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A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Alex de Minaur\", \"Stefanos Tsitsipas\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]","volume":"294417.49632600026","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-26T07:26:37.264798Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xd92a2a284d5223b7923d2273222df21904cbff1a6f1577bc713c734a9b5a00d3","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":294417.49632600026,"liquidityNum":99544.4096,"endDateIso":"2026-08-03","startDateIso":"2026-07-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":227074.4460880002,"volume1wk":294417.4963259999,"volume1mo":294417.4963259999,"volume1yr":294417.4963259999,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-29 17:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":"[\"82443778416843030453571859342048142587941527047728194305282820830331727732422\", \"24166291454386213594141597280566368504655685572084781413118314853946110344571\"]","positionIds":["545805117048202730515523644429972881019576279569613700415449093157744017408","545805117048202730515523644429972881019576279569613700415449093157744017409"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.8","volume24hrClob":227074.4460880002,"volume1wkClob":294417.4963259999,"volume1moClob":294417.4963259999,"volume1yrClob":294417.4963259999,"volumeClob":294417.49632600026,"liquidityClob":99544.4096,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":1800,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"750733","ticker":"atp-minaur-tsitsip-2026-07-27","slug":"atp-minaur-tsitsip-2026-07-27","title":"Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas","description":"This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Alex de Minaur.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current","startDate":"2026-07-26T07:38:51.414767Z","creationDate":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-08-03T14:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/atp-tour-b4390c4fb8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/atp-tour-b4390c4fb8.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":173264.9242,"volume":309149.9248710002,"openInterest":208821.86581400002,"createdAt":"2026-07-26T07:26:36.838728Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:27.119774Z","competitive":0.9996001599360256,"volume24hr":240066.88764000018,"volume1wk":308995.8071809999,"volume1mo":308995.8071809999,"volume1yr":308995.8071809999,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":173264.9242,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10365","ticker":"atp","slug":"atp","title":"ATP","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-10-07T17:08:06.009679Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":15383806.584440002,"volume":1058309.4907130005,"liquidity":4775337.1129,"commentCount":3138,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-29","startTime":"2026-07-29T17:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"atp","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":5972714,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Alex de Minaur, the defending 2025 champion and top seed, enters the Mubadala Citi DC Open on outdoor hard courts with strong recent hard-court form and home-soil advantages in the draw. Stefanos Tsitsipas, a wild card, arrives after winning the Gstaad clay title and posting a 22-15 record in 2026 with a 7-3 recent streak, though his last hard-court outing included a straight-sets upset of de Minaur at the 2026 Miami Masters. Tsitsipas leads the head-to-head 14-2 overall, including their most recent hard-court meeting, but de Minaur’s superior ranking, consistency on this surface, and tournament pedigree shape trader consensus around the Australian’s edge in the matchup. No confirmed injuries affect either player ahead of potential early-round play.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-26T08:00:32.005Z","league":"Mubadala Citi DC Open","opticOddsFixtureId":"202607276AAFC3ED","opticOddsGameId":"27264-25603-2026-30","opticOddsNumericalId":1019062},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-26T07:52:21Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9928268261808434,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.59,"bestBid":0.58,"bestAsk":0.59,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-26T07:26:48.96698Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","marketMetadata":{"opticOddsFixtureId":"202607276AAFC3ED","opticOddsMarketId":"moneyline","opticOddsMarketName":"Moneyline","opticOddsSelection":"Moneyline"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2967838","question":"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?","conditionId":"0x5e0190c0160f075a95fd5034b1d97d2245ef0c1ccb725fcbbadfc54db2ac8028","slug":"will-the-us-announce-an-iran-ceasefire-by-august-31-20260718000915876-168","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"6837797.9426","startDate":"2026-07-18T01:59:54.106Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-announce-an-iran-ceasefire-by-JBxUYsGvggYB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-announce-an-iran-ceasefire-by-JBxUYsGvggYB.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture). A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated. An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran. For example, a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations would not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present cessation or suspension of offensive military action against Iran, previously-unannounced prior cessation or suspension of such military action, or definitive decision to cease or suspend such military action.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to US offensive military action against Iran, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference a ceasefire by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending offensive military action against Iran is clearly and unambiguously communicated.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.\n\nThe following do not qualify:\nAnonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;\nStatements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government;\nThird-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to military action;\nSatirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;\nAnnouncements or acceptances of a ceasefire attributed only to Iran, mediating states, or any party other than the United States; and\nStatements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to military action rather than announcing a present and decided position.\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether military action actually ends in practice.\n\nResolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]","volume":"519276.8615710001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-18T01:57:41.803521Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0x1b05bd814e02e3562dc5f9d9590fa748af58792bee73489b1afd9d23e52a6866","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"disputed","volumeNum":519276.8615710001,"liquidityNum":6837797.9426,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-18","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":213957.65,"volume1wk":449576.205588,"volume1mo":519276.86157100013,"volume1yr":519276.86157100013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"49952690042474298096697107838501147620642888076204079490031529723234270830286\", \"87911766374659531076965284019687376665953989393348596736867814678145203303040\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":213957.65,"volume1wkClob":449576.205588,"volume1moClob":519276.86157100013,"volume1yrClob":519276.86157100013,"volumeClob":519276.8615710001,"liquidityClob":6837797.9426,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"715891","ticker":"us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096","slug":"us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096","title":"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture). A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated. An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran. For example, a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations would not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present cessation or suspension of offensive military action against Iran, previously-unannounced prior cessation or suspension of such military action, or definitive decision to cease or suspend such military action.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to US offensive military action against Iran, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference a ceasefire by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending offensive military action against Iran is clearly and unambiguously communicated.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. 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Upcoming negotiation deadlines and potential Iranian compliance on uranium stockpile limits or shipping guarantees remain key variables that could trigger resolution.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-18T02:00:11.034Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-18T01:59:06Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.3395,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-18T01:57:57.42552Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2932972","question":"LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner","conditionId":"0xbbaa0df1467dd8c0ba4891b68f35d1d63c7e1082bc16151a73092a858408e392","slug":"lol-t1-kt-2026-07-29-game1","resolutionSource":"https://gol.gg/esports/home","endDate":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","liquidity":"203039.165","startDate":"2026-07-15T10:04:19.345751Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"T1\" if T1 win Game 1 against KT Rolster.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"KT Rolster\" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against T1.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. \n\nIf Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. \n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. 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However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. 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T1 sits near the top of overall standings with consistent map control and late-game execution, bolstered by veteran roster stability and playoff implications. KT Rolster has posted competitive results in the new Legend Group (currently 2-0 in early weeks) but trails T1 in head-to-head history and overall series win rate. Key variables include patch adaptations, mid-lane matchup dynamics, and how both teams manage draft priority in the best-of-three format, with T1's experience in high-stakes LCK series providing a notable edge in trader consensus.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-15T11:00:14.492Z","gridSeriesId":"3","league":"LCK","leagueTier":"2","pandascoreMatchId":1568901,"tournament":"Round 3-4 Legend Group"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-15T10:03:29Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9296920395119117,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1049916","conditionId":"0xbbaa0df1467dd8c0ba4891b68f35d1d63c7e1082bc16151a73092a858408e392","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":31,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":250,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.055,"oneHourPriceChange":0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.25,"lastTradePrice":0.78,"bestBid":0.77,"bestAsk":0.78,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"gameId":"280917","sportsMarketType":"child_moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-15T10:01:34.853396Z","rfqEnabled":false,"eventStartTime":"2026-07-29T10:00:00Z","holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1"},{"id":"559668","question":"Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","conditionId":"0x36db77c539bcc8c7bf0686c1b99f30c5a5eed1f53d3b3a27a071550c81f83701","slug":"will-mark-kelly-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-479","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"279851.92466","startDate":"2025-07-11T18:36:13.216Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Mark_Kelly.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Mark_Kelly.png","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. 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The wide-open field features fragmented support across governors like Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear, senators such as Jon Ossoff and Mark Kelly, and progressives including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reflecting competing priorities over name recognition, fundraising, and general-election appeal. Recent polling shows Newsom competitive with Kamala Harris in ranked-choice simulations, while trader consensus prices in the advantages of term-limited executives who can focus on national messaging without immediate reelection pressures. The 2026 midterms and any resulting shifts in party infrastructure or donor alignment could consolidate backing behind fewer contenders ahead of formal primary activity.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:38.971Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-11T18:35:52Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8206432817524837,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.003,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.014,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.017,"oneYearPriceChange":0.0225,"lastTradePrice":0.034,"bestBid":0.031,"bestAsk":0.034,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-11T18:15:13.899606Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2758345","question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?","conditionId":"0xe498447cc887be42044835ac88ece14c34a158a3e6f5e1be07a89629d7100b61","slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-52pt5k-in-july-2026-976","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"127821.24555","startDate":"2026-07-01T16:18:58.308Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. 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Microsoft, Alphabet, and Broadcom trail at 23-41% odds due to their secondary roles in cloud AI services and networking silicon, while Apple and Amazon face slower AI monetization and hardware cycles. Energy giant Saudi Aramco and Tesla sit much lower amid commodity volatility and execution risks in autonomy. 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Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.905\", \"0.095\"]","volume":"1973121.4258639945","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-16T23:00:34.645581Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0xbb95da260511c144954052c5d478e995ab0767a00d46f2554b2c84f8e7dd0ef2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1973121.4258639945,"liquidityNum":42776.8805,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-16","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":171791.074177,"volume1wk":1655297.4974050017,"volume1mo":1973121.4258640003,"volume1yr":1973121.4258640003,"clobTokenIds":"[\"107961194152792740725727064379230288293910546811577910480987951504293301797282\", \"86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":171791.074177,"volume1wkClob":1655297.4974050017,"volume1moClob":1973121.4258640003,"volume1yrClob":1973121.4258640003,"volumeClob":1973121.4258639945,"liquidityClob":42776.8805,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"711714","ticker":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-16T23:11:24.825515Z","creationDate":"2026-07-16T23:13:00.025133Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":677844.6018,"volume":10563001.891672002,"openInterest":1683221.8351190002,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-16T23:00:27.314496Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:02.510203Z","competitive":0.9979790923380155,"volume24hr":599905.820966,"volume1wk":7184493.480435004,"volume1mo":7960744.975601004,"volume1yr":7960744.975601004,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":677844.6018,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":91,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":13,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader sentiment on the durability of any Israel-Iran ceasefire framework. Iranian forces struck multiple commercial vessels in early July, prompting U.S. Central Command strikes on Iranian military targets and President Trump’s July 8 declaration that the June Islamabad Memorandum truce had ended. Both sides have since exchanged further strikes, with U.S. operations expanding deeper into Iran and Iranian missile responses targeting regional U.S. positions. Israel has maintained high alert status and signaled readiness for independent action while conducting separate operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, though it has not directly re-engaged Iranian territory in the latest exchanges. Negotiations on nuclear issues and a permanent settlement remain stalled amid mutual accusations of violations, with no scheduled diplomatic milestones in the immediate term that would restore the prior 60-day negotiation window.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-17T00:00:13.261Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-16T23:10:56Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"931681","conditionId":"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":150,"startDate":"2026-07-17","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.04,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.19,"lastTradePrice":0.9,"bestBid":0.9,"bestAsk":0.91,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-16T23:00:57.047958Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2730116","question":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?","conditionId":"0x5062a23690144ef266851c95571c63af1f8b06b14607fe859b9d3bc7ed9d2813","slug":"will-wti-reach-105-in-july-2026","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","liquidity":"59331.20862","startDate":"2026-06-29T13:14:15.309865Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" or \"Low\" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).\n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" and \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]","volume":"828656.4113880001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-29T13:10:25.5325Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ $105","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x7cecc7d1693b8147c7b8543186c156cc5c5767197dec68986b0f5060fc9b55a1","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":828656.4113880001,"liquidityNum":59331.20862,"endDateIso":"2026-08-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":162760.64914199998,"volume1wk":503311.9641809999,"volume1mo":828656.4113879998,"volume1yr":828656.4113879998,"gameStartTime":"2026-06-30 21:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"9838960425978400607865808829770794750674501095370512526040508081525649286338\", \"46002627792286939692140037087010448206579722485731654221626909085979618419191\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":162760.64914199998,"volume1wkClob":503311.9641809999,"volume1moClob":828656.4113879998,"volume1yrClob":828656.4113879998,"volumeClob":828656.4113880001,"liquidityClob":59331.20862,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"631914","ticker":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","slug":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","title":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","description":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","startDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","creationDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"volume":15117627.465561975,"openInterest":3411637.7951899995,"createdAt":"2026-06-25T04:01:33.457018Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:06.72682Z","competitive":0.9975062344139651,"volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume1wk":5174387.6978560025,"volume1mo":10621351.389759006,"volume1yr":10639210.135073006,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1229592.04421,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10820","ticker":"crude-oil-cl-hit","slug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","title":"Crude Oil (CL) hit__","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2025-12-30T20:23:06.61732Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume":15117627.465561975,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"commentCount":4942,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-25T04:01:00Z","seriesSlug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":8,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent progress toward a US-Iran peace deal and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply eased supply disruption fears that earlier drove WTI above $100/bbl. As of June 25, 2026, front-month WTI futures trade near $70, down sharply from Q2 peaks amid rising global inventories and softening demand. EIA projections highlight accelerating OECD stock draws through Q3 before gradual replenishment, while non-OPEC supply growth and OPEC+ unwind add downward pressure. Traders price in a swift return to surplus conditions, with July resolution likely hinging on the pace of Middle East production restarts and any near-term demand data releases. Volatility remains elevated given lingering geopolitical risks.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-25T05:00:13.274Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-29T13:13:26Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8063865817272801,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.002,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.092,"lastTradePrice":0.01,"bestBid":0.009,"bestAsk":0.011,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-29T13:12:14.544812Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2371882","question":"Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","conditionId":"0x6cc27a4a35f130c5481805387f567dcb79fec7284ddc4354db257f1bad86e183","slug":"will-turkey-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"20221.28586","startDate":"2026-05-27T18:45:03.037888Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/country-to-join-abraham-accords-in-2025-oHQHnA-wmyoy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/country-to-join-abraham-accords-in-2025-oHQHnA-wmyoy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.\n\nThe resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0865\", \"0.9135\"]","volume":"463118.1474060004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-27T18:40:26.234932Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Turkey","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0xfd415264202360549c72f2f0a2f89334704d39415a140c9e5e08504636cf4933","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":463118.1474060004,"liquidityNum":20221.28586,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":160880.11934600005,"volume1wk":440929.0260770007,"volume1mo":462528.07415000064,"volume1yr":463118.14740600064,"clobTokenIds":"[\"20017929812718986920685798265534319399741603957697884496871670009663199441276\", \"96194769553271797751128235139858115617686732077374499499532526185358586253274\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":160880.11934600005,"volume1wkClob":440929.0260770007,"volume1moClob":462528.07415000064,"volume1yrClob":463118.14740600064,"volumeClob":463118.1474060004,"liquidityClob":20221.28586,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"73191","ticker":"which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027","slug":"which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027","title":"Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.\n\nThe resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-05T18:54:17.189Z","creationDate":"2025-11-05T19:01:08.985828Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/country-to-join-abraham-accords-in-2025-oHQHnA-wmyoy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/country-to-join-abraham-accords-in-2025-oHQHnA-wmyoy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":153827.21041,"volume":1502276.073722,"openInterest":127666.74332200001,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-11-04T21:32:09.033156Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:34.610408Z","competitive":0.927299703264095,"volume24hr":181681.10850100004,"volume1wk":517826.6600890007,"volume1mo":709582.4887740007,"volume1yr":1502276.073722001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":153827.21041,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10608","ticker":"abraham-accords-new-country","slug":"abraham-accords-new-country","title":"Abraham Accords New Country","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-11-06T22:32:28.317836Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":181681.10850100004,"volume":1502276.073722,"liquidity":153827.21041,"commentCount":44,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"abraham-accords-new-country","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:18:38.938Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-27T18:44:08Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8539839096621661,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.003,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0395,"oneHourPriceChange":0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.043,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0185,"lastTradePrice":0.075,"bestBid":0.085,"bestAsk":0.088,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-27T18:42:57.576084Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2243302","question":"Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?","conditionId":"0xbfc40c01252d9c9677859e9649eec406cae93e7866eda1b48b3b4b29da16027e","slug":"will-detroit-pistons-win-the-2027-nba-finals","endDate":"2027-07-01T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"368022.61965","startDate":"2026-05-13T20:08:30.501912Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nba-2027-champion-cBr9CT4AcdfN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nba-2027-champion-cBr9CT4AcdfN.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. 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Elite infighting and economic strains persist into June, yet the government has maintained core institutions amid ceasefire talks and a draft U.S. agreement expected soon. Traders price in resilience absent coordinated mass defections or decisive external shocks. Late-breaking diplomatic collapse, renewed widespread unrest, or leadership health events within the resolution window could still shift odds before 2027.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:42.065Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-03T23:51:39Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"303431","conditionId":"0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":70,"startDate":"2026-04-30","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.09,"bestBid":0.09,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-03T23:51:10.489523Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3030333","question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?","conditionId":"0x78b75dbf3252057d6ba5c58c13a5f866a7f0e68deab1d5457a75d26c6f407f55","slug":"bitcoin-above-60k-on-july-29-2026","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","liquidity":"40824.02963","startDate":"2026-07-22T16:00:31Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]","volume":"171562.5825979999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-22T16:00:08.261914Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"60,000","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x309dca7653880d652b93e6e95c20f20898997dd22fa03f3162d41d00cbbc34e8","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":171562.5825979999,"liquidityNum":40824.02963,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-07-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":145676.11578100006,"volume1wk":171562.58259800007,"volume1mo":171562.58259800007,"volume1yr":171562.58259800007,"clobTokenIds":"[\"99736475314551092162370727454041284759623925849862820110441160270939665964056\", \"55059140374181419175517411423613102165173576514756425241931869610315855924726\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.6","volume24hrClob":145676.11578100006,"volume1wkClob":171562.58259800007,"volume1moClob":171562.58259800007,"volume1yrClob":171562.58259800007,"volumeClob":171562.5825979999,"liquidityClob":40824.02963,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":600,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"733284","ticker":"bitcoin-above-on-july-29-2026","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-july-29-2026","title":"Bitcoin above ___ on July 29?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-22T16:00:28Z","creationDate":"2026-07-22T16:02:48.965309Z","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":952443.67294,"volume":744582.706935,"openInterest":501819.78678399994,"createdAt":"2026-07-22T16:00:07.777263Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:27.119774Z","competitive":0.8936350841134023,"volume24hr":600379.2694100002,"volume1wk":736526.2928950002,"volume1mo":736526.2928950002,"volume1yr":736526.2928950002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":952443.67294,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"45","ticker":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","slug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","title":"BTC Multi Strikes Weekly","subtitle":"BTC","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Fwill-btc-r_7bfde384d001ec27dfc6513c3c13161c_256x256_qual_100.webp&w=256&q=100","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC.png","layout":"default","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"publishedAt":"2023-04-11 18:00:01.087+00","createdBy":"15","updatedBy":"17","createdAt":"2023-04-11T17:58:52.163Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","commentsEnabled":false,"competitive":"0","volume24hr":1867104.576448,"volume":1198213.8384270002,"liquidity":1844125.241,"startDate":"2021-01-01T17:00:00Z","pythTokenID":"0xe62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","cgAssetName":"bitcoin","commentCount":4325,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-22T16:00:31Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":0.015,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-22T16:00:11.333966Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2758339","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?","conditionId":"0xbe20fcfd54937c2a48a7b8521ca349e6a2c4373566328ebb950a8c35ab1be3d9","slug":"will-bitcoin-reach-67pt5k-in-july-2026","endDate":"2026-08-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"65699.79","startDate":"2026-07-01T16:31:33.608038Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]","volume":"2527158.7044430105","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-01T16:15:01.450225Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ 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of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","conditionId":"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"182460.2023","startDate":"2026-07-02T21:49:47.480763Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for September 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]","volume":"884215.1593829998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-02T20:43:48.489002Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"questionID":"0xcd7e5984ab420bbfab2128af947491f62f82d7bb6b63a825e6e5a82c588343dd","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":884215.1593829998,"liquidityNum":182460.2023,"endDateIso":"2026-09-30","startDateIso":"2026-07-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":138738.48980199997,"volume1wk":436831.647339,"volume1mo":884215.1593829996,"volume1yr":884215.1593829996,"clobTokenIds":"[\"23545193122217391289335133742859160842475987880562465754342378273033942179195\", \"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":138738.48980199997,"volume1wkClob":436831.647339,"volume1moClob":884215.1593829996,"volume1yrClob":884215.1593829996,"volumeClob":884215.1593829998,"liquidityClob":182460.2023,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"660109","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for September 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-02T21:49:47.480763Z","creationDate":"2026-07-02T21:51:32.64796Z","endDate":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":184938.8083,"volume":882707.4193829998,"openInterest":367768.51329,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-02T20:43:48.080491Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:17.385667Z","competitive":0.9248768757659137,"volume24hr":137230.74980199995,"volume1wk":435323.907339,"volume1mo":882707.4193829997,"volume1yr":882707.4193829997,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":184938.8083,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11492","ticker":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","slug":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","title":"Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-31T18:45:41.417299Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1519930.9020360007,"volume":33394490.880643275,"liquidity":1840130.81732,"commentCount":3851,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over maritime access, tolls, and security guarantees remain the dominant driver keeping the implied probability of normalized Strait of Hormuz traffic by September 30 at 50%. Shipping data show transits at roughly 45% of pre-conflict levels amid a persistent backlog of hundreds of vessels, with insurers and owners adopting a cautious stance following sporadic attacks and Iranian assertions of control. Recent Doha talks have produced incremental traffic gains but no durable agreement, while alternative routing via Omani waters and potential August toll implementation add uncertainty. Key near-term catalysts include further bilateral sessions, fresh vessel-tracking releases, and any escalation that could either solidify safe passage or prolong restrictions.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:00:11.518Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-02T21:48:58Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9248768757659137,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"778331","conditionId":"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":150,"startDate":"2026-07-04","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.045,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.21,"bestBid":0.21,"bestAsk":0.22,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-02T20:44:06.98401Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3128584","question":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?","conditionId":"0x051cd7d8ee2d0d4b38aef35adbf4ad4de44ea5bda2f9f36c70d919179ef75491","slug":"will-wti-reach-90-in-july-2026-from-july-27","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","liquidity":"12505.51464","startDate":"2026-07-27T16:27:17Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" or \"Low\" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).\n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" and \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.112\", \"0.888\"]","volume":"157422.70379199996","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-27T16:27:06.428539Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ $90","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x06d2a8bc4a5263bcf7ae8315c378889a4aae4c5d9a58e470d27f028b55056e68","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":157422.70379199996,"liquidityNum":12505.51464,"endDateIso":"2026-08-01","startDateIso":"2026-07-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":134103.51180200002,"volume1wk":157422.70379200004,"volume1mo":157422.70379200004,"volume1yr":157422.70379200004,"gameStartTime":"2026-06-30 21:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"12769703657222289110863139123222000053803471956261605910761965486624303252006\", \"104098056569585630015084344840169131752297298541471048703501533175367050520184\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"3.5","volume24hrClob":134103.51180200002,"volume1wkClob":157422.70379200004,"volume1moClob":157422.70379200004,"volume1yrClob":157422.70379200004,"volumeClob":157422.70379199996,"liquidityClob":12505.51464,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"631914","ticker":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","slug":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","title":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","description":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","startDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","creationDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"volume":15117627.465561975,"openInterest":3411637.7951899995,"createdAt":"2026-06-25T04:01:33.457018Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:06.72682Z","competitive":0.9975062344139651,"volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume1wk":5174387.6978560025,"volume1mo":10621351.389759006,"volume1yr":10639210.135073006,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1229592.04421,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10820","ticker":"crude-oil-cl-hit","slug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","title":"Crude Oil (CL) hit__","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2025-12-30T20:23:06.61732Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume":15117627.465561975,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"commentCount":4942,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-25T04:01:00Z","seriesSlug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":8,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent progress toward a US-Iran peace deal and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply eased supply disruption fears that earlier drove WTI above $100/bbl. As of June 25, 2026, front-month WTI futures trade near $70, down sharply from Q2 peaks amid rising global inventories and softening demand. EIA projections highlight accelerating OECD stock draws through Q3 before gradual replenishment, while non-OPEC supply growth and OPEC+ unwind add downward pressure. Traders price in a swift return to surplus conditions, with July resolution likely hinging on the pace of Middle East production restarts and any near-term demand data releases. Volatility remains elevated given lingering geopolitical risks.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-25T05:00:13.274Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-27T16:27:17Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8691540697270161,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1057078","conditionId":"0x051cd7d8ee2d0d4b38aef35adbf4ad4de44ea5bda2f9f36c70d919179ef75491","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":20,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.014,"oneDayPriceChange":0.022,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0065,"lastTradePrice":0.103,"bestBid":0.105,"bestAsk":0.119,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-27T16:27:07.209759Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"561256","question":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","conditionId":"0xf05b4b55336a4c1c7b44c726911d2b559732cff7bad339084de86ae364dc85f6","slug":"will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"1813672.51102","startDate":"2025-07-11T19:06:15.307Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election-O9QJqrRLtw4m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election-O9QJqrRLtw4m.jpg","description":"The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]","volume":"21625284.877613597","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-07-08T19:06:13.209517Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Zohran Mamdani","groupItemThreshold":"27","questionID":"0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb41b","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":21625284.877613597,"liquidityNum":1813672.51102,"endDateIso":"2028-11-07","startDateIso":"2025-07-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":129716.066327,"volume1wk":154419.317625,"volume1mo":794236.1018199997,"volume1yr":21625284.877613448,"clobTokenIds":"[\"94621929236241392639802280031607240386237812521756048982107414565863464212526\", \"37476438367629084207797870684242875797541797912993121111059056752005821579571\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"50000","umaReward":"20","volume24hrClob":129716.066327,"volume1wkClob":154419.317625,"volume1moClob":794236.1018199997,"volume1yrClob":21625284.877613448,"volumeClob":21625284.877613597,"liquidityClob":1813672.51102,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb400","negRiskRequestID":"0x60c14c5a866072b4642d02cbb736aabf84a382ae42a13240562e92cc33e1145c","events":[{"id":"31552","ticker":"presidential-election-winner-2028","slug":"presidential-election-winner-2028","title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028","description":"The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-07-11T19:05:46.369Z","creationDate":"2025-07-11T19:11:35.945462Z","endDate":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/presidential-election-winner-2024-afdda358-219d-448a-abb5-ba4d14118d71.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/presidential-election-winner-2024-afdda358-219d-448a-abb5-ba4d14118d71.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":53208450.75778,"volume":673541393.5080949,"openInterest":53426227.92120799,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-07-08T19:05:57.129881Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:48.132633Z","competitive":0.917683555638351,"volume24hr":1496086.233011,"volume1wk":5149250.612081,"volume1mo":32401300.048331924,"volume1yr":670346563.9272764,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":53208450.75778,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb400","commentCount":981,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2028-11-07T12:00:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"countryName":"U.S.","electionType":"Presidential","featuredOrder":25,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-11T18:44:25.422593Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Early positioning for the 2028 presidential nominees remains fluid more than two years before the primaries, with trader consensus reflecting the long timeline and uncertainty over both parties' fields. JD Vance benefits from his vice-presidential role in the current administration, while Marco Rubio's recent polling gains as secretary of state and Gavin Newsom's status as a leading Democratic figure keep the top three within a narrow band. The approaching 2026 midterms, potential candidate announcements after November, and hypothetical matchup polls showing shifts among Republicans and Democrats sustain the tight spread. Separation could emerge from midterm outcomes, economic conditions, or formal campaign launches that clarify frontrunners within each party.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:39.018Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-11T19:05:54Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8022384055993032,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.003,"lastTradePrice":0.003,"bestBid":0.003,"bestAsk":0.004,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":true,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-11T18:44:50.339238Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2758338","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?","conditionId":"0xe284a52d608552290b056def0a62e1914b3ebe316407504f56f6361fafc68358","slug":"will-bitcoin-reach-70k-in-july-2026","endDate":"2026-08-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"64519.7234","startDate":"2026-07-01T16:23:52.398637Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.016\", \"0.984\"]","volume":"2078675.2910119956","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-01T16:15:00.673898Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.555\", \"0.445\"]","volume":"6263629.803439989","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-06T17:46:53.811882Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xb57240ffdf34ace49a6e298b559b8c2f447e69e024c08a74c9205f2625bae68b","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":6263629.803439989,"liquidityNum":307696.3908,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":128388.29305899999,"volume1wk":692210.9828759999,"volume1mo":3071267.7209239975,"volume1yr":6263629.803440008,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825\", \"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":128388.29305899999,"volume1wkClob":692210.9828759999,"volume1moClob":3071267.7209239975,"volume1yrClob":6263629.803440008,"volumeClob":6263629.803439989,"liquidityClob":307696.3908,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"455875","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. 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Market-implied odds of 90.5% for normalized traffic by year-end reflect trader consensus that logistical hurdles—such as clearing a backlog exceeding 500 vessels, mine risks, and elevated insurance premiums—will be resolved well before December 31, consistent with precedents for rapid recovery once security assurances stabilize. Key upcoming catalysts include sustained maritime patrols and insurance rate normalization. Residual uncertainty stems from potential geopolitical flare-ups or slower-than-expected de-risking that could extend elevated war-risk premiums into late 2026.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:32:02.721Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-11T13:03:02Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9969841230278408,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"335942","conditionId":"0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":200,"startDate":"2026-05-11","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.28,"lastTradePrice":0.56,"bestBid":0.55,"bestAsk":0.56,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-11T12:59:14.074226Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3030339","question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?","conditionId":"0x94bbe26c72498bf4fcf36eaed4be2da73bed6716f2521e1502c69497655fda20","slug":"bitcoin-above-62k-on-july-29-2026","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","liquidity":"31729.50595","startDate":"2026-07-22T16:00:30Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","startDate":"2026-07-22T16:00:28Z","creationDate":"2026-07-22T16:02:48.965309Z","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":952443.67294,"volume":744582.706935,"openInterest":501819.78678399994,"createdAt":"2026-07-22T16:00:07.777263Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:27.119774Z","competitive":0.8936350841134023,"volume24hr":600379.2694100002,"volume1wk":736526.2928950002,"volume1mo":736526.2928950002,"volume1yr":736526.2928950002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":952443.67294,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"45","ticker":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","slug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","title":"BTC Multi Strikes Weekly","subtitle":"BTC","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Fwill-btc-r_7bfde384d001ec27dfc6513c3c13161c_256x256_qual_100.webp&w=256&q=100","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC.png","layout":"default","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"publishedAt":"2023-04-11 18:00:01.087+00","createdBy":"15","updatedBy":"17","createdAt":"2023-04-11T17:58:52.163Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","commentsEnabled":false,"competitive":"0","volume24hr":1867104.576448,"volume":1198213.8384270002,"liquidity":1844125.241,"startDate":"2021-01-01T17:00:00Z","pythTokenID":"0xe62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","cgAssetName":"bitcoin","commentCount":4325,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"btc-multi-strikes-weekly","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-22T16:00:30Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8063865817272801,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.1525,"oneHourPriceChange":0.007,"lastTradePrice":0.989,"bestBid":0.989,"bestAsk":0.991,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-22T16:00:11.314717Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2923467","question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?","conditionId":"0x14ea3802ada17265002bff37ddc4ea65014d3e37cb80ef2ea8aa2f588a5f78bc","slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-62pt5k-in-july-2026-from-july-14","endDate":"2026-08-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"31082.18608","startDate":"2026-07-14T16:22:20.526185Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. 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Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.3095\", \"0.6905\"]","volume":"881819.3661299977","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-14T16:17:00.682685Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↓ 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Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]","volume":"144097.84506699993","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-27T17:47:57.330773Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 15","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x1175b30e91c8444820928dfc7602d21833a4e45f3d9275685bd493dd39255454","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":144097.84506699993,"liquidityNum":204397.09953,"endDateIso":"2026-08-15","startDateIso":"2026-07-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":120149.47796500001,"volume1wk":144097.84506700002,"volume1mo":144097.84506700002,"volume1yr":144097.84506700002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"46733641692303589497067975944983817973005458083506506012270818964693443326225\", \"6852778822128329267483378092920068275366251150099721072856191658510604396679\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":120149.47796500001,"volume1wkClob":144097.84506700002,"volume1moClob":144097.84506700002,"volume1yrClob":144097.84506700002,"volumeClob":144097.84506699993,"liquidityClob":204397.09953,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"660108","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. 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Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for August 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. 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Recent volatility in daily crossings—rebounding toward prewar levels before dropping to 22 vessels on one day—reflects shipowner caution amid disputes over Iranian transit fees and route control, elevating war-risk insurance premiums and sustaining elevated oil-price volatility. Progress on unfreezing assets or clarifying navigation rules could accelerate resumption and lift the “yes” side, while any escalation or stalled talks would reinforce downside risks for energy markets.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:00:10.024Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-27T17:49:40Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8168584888648914,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1043175","conditionId":"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":30,"startDate":"2026-07-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.003,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.014,"lastTradePrice":0.028,"bestBid":0.025,"bestAsk":0.028,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-27T17:48:07.031976Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3030290","question":"Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?","conditionId":"0x4faf31ae66078c5b7583cd19ab737de6cdfff2727fa019836b16ae9dd26b3d7f","slug":"ethereum-above-1700-on-july-29-2026","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","liquidity":"24742.99755","startDate":"2026-07-22T16:00:18Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.21\", \"0.79\"]","volume":"1514052.9986619686","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-06T00:25:08.406865Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0x68d768354c034e07d780235ddeca559ae1ed6e63da0569d0367d397a75483d48","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1514052.9986619686,"liquidityNum":120831.6719,"endDateIso":"2026-04-30","startDateIso":"2026-05-06","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":119702.43934099999,"volume1wk":352524.222301,"volume1mo":1057890.7374789987,"volume1yr":1514052.9986620015,"clobTokenIds":"[\"79492971912420892776290893910148058147353983898749011679176479416889510526578\", \"79085628201281122481883578594811594592260824252373059797032000397035131450743\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":119702.43934099999,"volume1wkClob":352524.222301,"volume1moClob":1057890.7374789987,"volume1yrClob":1514052.9986620015,"volumeClob":1514052.9986619686,"liquidityClob":120831.6719,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"276527","ticker":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. 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Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730\n, including both the chart and downloadable files.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-16T18:44:59.488518Z","creationDate":"2026-03-16T18:44:59.488514Z","endDate":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":331027.43071,"volume":8636457.596894966,"openInterest":1120158.432528,"createdAt":"2026-03-16T15:59:28.809942Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:04.905406Z","competitive":0.9411764705882353,"volume24hr":226598.118509,"volume1wk":1736138.5804679997,"volume1mo":3290478.607442999,"volume1yr":3746640.8686260018,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":331027.43071,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":216,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":18,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"**Geopolitical escalation in the 2026 Iran conflict has intensified Houthi threats to disrupt or close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a key chokepoint handling roughly 4.2 million barrels per day of petroleum liquids in early 2025.** Renewed warnings in April–June 2026, including targeting Israeli-linked vessels, have prompted major carriers like Maersk to pause Red Sea transits, sustaining the shift of Asia-Europe traffic around the Cape of Good Hope and elevating insurance premiums and freight rates. Oil markets price in limited additional upside from Bab el-Mandeb risks given the larger Strait of Hormuz disruption, while shipping volumes through the Suez route remain suppressed versus pre-2024 levels. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low near-term probabilities to effective closure, reflecting naval patrols, vessel rerouting flexibility, and historical patterns of asymmetric but contained attacks since the October 2025 ceasefire. Key upcoming catalysts include further Iran-related diplomatic developments or Houthi operational signals that could alter risk premiums.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:59.074Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-06T00:26:54Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9224241306152569,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"426137","conditionId":"0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.055,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.1,"lastTradePrice":0.21,"bestBid":0.2,"bestAsk":0.22,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-06T00:25:36.305869Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2910436","question":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-july-31-2026-20260713152715082-212","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"29281.805","startDate":"2026-07-13T18:04:28.679Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039-hE3ZTZ51JJy3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039-hE3ZTZ51JJy3.jpg","description":"On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.\n\nThe following do not qualify:\n\nAnonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;\nStatements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government;\nThird-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade;\nSatirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and\nStatements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position.\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice.\n\nResolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-13T18:04:23.246Z","creationDate":"2026-07-13T18:07:04.935212Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039-hE3ZTZ51JJy3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039-hE3ZTZ51JJy3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":245682.3493,"volume":1681856.2935490014,"openInterest":412845.23428699997,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-13T18:02:07.042056Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:23.743117Z","competitive":0.9999000099990001,"volume24hr":227207.477948,"volume1wk":905199.34785,"volume1mo":1286726.937198,"volume1yr":1286726.937198,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":245682.3493,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":41,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The US naval blockade of Iranian ports, imposed in April 2026 amid the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz crisis, was lifted on June 18 following the Islamabad Memorandum agreement that reopened the waterway to commercial traffic. Renewed Iranian attacks on vessels and US strikes have since fractured the ceasefire, prompting President Trump on July 13 to announce immediate reinstatement of the blockade targeting Iranian-flagged and customer ships while positioning the US as “guardian” of the strait and imposing passage fees on others. Key drivers of trader sentiment include the pace of any renewed diplomatic talks, enforcement actions by CENTCOM or IRGC forces, oil export volumes through the chokepoint, and scheduled regional summits or bilateral meetings that could produce a new de-escalation accord. Resolution hinges on verifiable US statements confirming the blockade’s end rather than partial pauses or escort operations.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-13T19:00:13.433Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-13T18:03:38Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8408837688410519,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"889176","conditionId":"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.07,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.05,"lastTradePrice":0.06,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.07,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-13T18:02:30.920792Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2933036","question":"Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)","conditionId":"0xc3a888ab5eeb608eebe5c26f98bdccd2927c8f86b3dbfc32fb6bafd491c1b3fd","slug":"lol-t1-kt-2026-07-29-game-handicap-away-1pt5","resolutionSource":"https://gol.gg/esports/home","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","liquidity":"121038.4222","startDate":"2026-07-15T10:05:22.455678Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-of-legends-61a4f083a6.png","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"T1\" if T1 wins 2 or more games than KT Rolster in this match.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"KT Rolster\". \n\nGames won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.","outcomes":"[\"T1\", \"KT Rolster\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.59\", \"0.41\"]","volume":"117171.41103199996","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-15T10:01:29.078458Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)","questionID":"0xb778ac45ce123666f6038a86a16cd4a44886551b7e4904d6eb266fda79d4b5f7","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":117171.41103199996,"liquidityNum":121038.4222,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-07-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":113528.09982,"volume1wk":117171.411032,"volume1mo":117171.411032,"volume1yr":117171.411032,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-29 10:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":"[\"23205117140910253426193428093258983232287975621542506837477408895287308486432\", \"64672507214807831507193860322636466643773054890218716699600292912582799726851\"]","positionIds":["711132206046122847981812913549317339713759945630581773740525603500513558528","711132206046122847981812913549317339713759945630581773740525603500513558529"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":113528.09982,"volume1wkClob":117171.411032,"volume1moClob":117171.411032,"volume1yrClob":117171.411032,"volumeClob":117171.41103199996,"liquidityClob":121038.4222,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"706007","ticker":"lol-t1-kt-2026-07-29","slug":"lol-t1-kt-2026-07-29","title":"LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group","description":"This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"T1\" if T1 win the match against KT Rolster.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"KT Rolster\" if KT Rolster win the match against T1.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. 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Key variables include patch adaptations, mid-lane matchup dynamics, and how both teams manage draft priority in the best-of-three format, with T1's experience in high-stakes LCK series providing a notable edge in trader consensus.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-15T11:00:14.492Z","gridSeriesId":"3","league":"LCK","leagueTier":"2","pandascoreMatchId":1568901,"tournament":"Round 3-4 Legend 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Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?","conditionId":"0x5f0f80c1d904c0348409832375a6d36580f9a552295ae3dba2595adfcea84a97","slug":"will-apple-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-july-31-20260624192329843","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"47918.47187","startDate":"2026-06-24T21:19:04.814357Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-apple-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-december-31-pbFWqs73s_IJ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-apple-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-december-31-pbFWqs73s_IJ.png","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.876\", 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Company","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-02-01T00:22:56.310824Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":412379.036293,"volume":10291155.038745007,"liquidity":2854382.5392,"commentCount":1418,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"largest-company","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-24T21:14:34.568002Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"NVIDIA's commanding 85% market-implied probability of remaining the largest company by market cap at end-July stems from its entrenched lead in AI accelerators, where surging enterprise demand for GPUs continues to drive outsized revenue growth and valuation multiples compared to peers. Microsoft, Alphabet, and Broadcom trail at 23-41% odds due to their secondary roles in cloud AI services and networking silicon, while Apple and Amazon face slower AI monetization and hardware cycles. Energy giant Saudi Aramco and Tesla sit much lower amid commodity volatility and execution risks in autonomy. Traders are watching Q2 earnings beats, Blackwell ramp updates, and any regulatory shifts on AI exports as near-term catalysts that could reinforce or erode NVIDIA's edge before month-end resolution.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-24T22:00:15.535Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-24T21:18:04Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8761354715711562,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"914619","conditionId":"0x5f0f80c1d904c0348409832375a6d36580f9a552295ae3dba2595adfcea84a97","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":93,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0805,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0055,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.621,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.8425,"lastTradePrice":0.883,"bestBid":0.871,"bestAsk":0.881,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-24T21:15:44.49176Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"3145329","question":"Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xc6abfadd32d976a4c2026a49c959f55baf0b48a67fc76b69ce3ea2464cbbedd5","slug":"will-iran-target-ukraine-by-august-31-2026-20260727234956917","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"36051.02705","startDate":"2026-07-28T03:28:43.895739Z","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Ukraine through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Ukraine. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Ukraine if it is directed at the terrestrial territory of Ukraine, including any internal waters.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.04\", \"0.96\"]","volume":"114577.95660699997","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-28T03:26:43.479401Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xed68a45b9b8d3fecda169c3a1239731c9cddd3023f9540c196630913f8457346","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":114577.95660699997,"liquidityNum":36051.02705,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-28","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":111301.47517999998,"volume1wk":114577.95660699997,"volume1mo":114577.95660699997,"volume1yr":114577.95660699997,"clobTokenIds":"[\"96110530838807843426113330250159497141335912754658423609676858638351974335151\", \"812411993196304604477660280695366010785192524891072238165227892694730094540\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"3.5","volume24hrClob":111301.47517999998,"volume1wkClob":114577.95660699997,"volume1moClob":114577.95660699997,"volume1yrClob":114577.95660699997,"volumeClob":114577.95660699997,"liquidityClob":36051.02705,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"759222","ticker":"will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916","slug":"will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916","title":"Will Iran target Ukraine by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Ukraine through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Ukraine. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Ukraine if it is directed at the terrestrial territory of Ukraine, including any internal waters.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-28T03:28:40.978237Z","creationDate":"2026-07-28T03:30:14.996088Z","endDate":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916-D7vlTc4fUJhx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916-D7vlTc4fUJhx.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":68749.85583,"volume":141498.66011599998,"openInterest":46499.823357,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-28T03:26:43.095469Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:58.80848Z","competitive":0.8470089994706194,"volume24hr":137929.82939899998,"volume1wk":141498.66011599998,"volume1mo":141498.66011599998,"volume1yr":141498.66011599998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":68749.85583,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":8,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent Ukrainian strikes on Iranian and Russian-linked vessels in the Caspian Sea on July 25, 2026, have heightened tensions, with Iranian officials condemning the attacks and issuing threats of retaliation. These incidents follow Iran's March 2026 warnings to Kyiv over Ukrainian drone assistance to Israel and ongoing Iranian arms shipments to Russia that enable strikes on Ukrainian territory. Ukraine's designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization and its efforts to disrupt sanctions-evading supply routes further escalate bilateral friction. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether Tehran will respond with direct targeting of Ukrainian assets or personnel amid broader regional conflicts involving Russia and Israel. No scheduled diplomatic summits or de-escalation talks are imminent to alter the trajectory in the near term.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-28T04:00:16.637Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-28T03:27:55Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8253549026081215,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.012,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"lastTradePrice":0.045,"bestBid":0.034,"bestAsk":0.046,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-28T03:26:51.433986Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3083701","question":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?","conditionId":"0xe70c3428d7d39579c7357aacc1fa31687e0323f782e13b1733ddabdbc6b1e9a4","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-july-29","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-29T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"53683.8241","startDate":"2026-07-24T16:09:16.527132Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.984\", \"0.016\"]","volume":"236465.11273399985","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-24T16:06:25.139684Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 29","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xce3aacd9313b61b403a751204db66bdc93b4fb0c8d24d21e5b889acd443785fb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":236465.11273399985,"liquidityNum":53683.8241,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-07-24","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":110363.813918,"volume1wk":236465.11273400002,"volume1mo":236465.11273400002,"volume1yr":236465.11273400002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"43783728297751003049731197784493047712213881171251242252606704800494333274628\", \"94743760346492168885071328052133300281844121158161961586598489798972396624408\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":110363.813918,"volume1wkClob":236465.11273400002,"volume1moClob":236465.11273400002,"volume1yrClob":236465.11273400002,"volumeClob":236465.11273399985,"liquidityClob":53683.8241,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"711714","ticker":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-16T23:11:24.825515Z","creationDate":"2026-07-16T23:13:00.025133Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":677844.6018,"volume":10563001.891672002,"openInterest":1683221.8351190002,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-16T23:00:27.314496Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:02.510203Z","competitive":0.9979790923380155,"volume24hr":599905.820966,"volume1wk":7184493.480435004,"volume1mo":7960744.975601004,"volume1yr":7960744.975601004,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":677844.6018,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":91,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":13,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader sentiment on the durability of any Israel-Iran ceasefire framework. Iranian forces struck multiple commercial vessels in early July, prompting U.S. Central Command strikes on Iranian military targets and President Trump’s July 8 declaration that the June Islamabad Memorandum truce had ended. Both sides have since exchanged further strikes, with U.S. operations expanding deeper into Iran and Iranian missile responses targeting regional U.S. positions. Israel has maintained high alert status and signaled readiness for independent action while conducting separate operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, though it has not directly re-engaged Iranian territory in the latest exchanges. Negotiations on nuclear issues and a permanent settlement remain stalled amid mutual accusations of violations, with no scheduled diplomatic milestones in the immediate term that would restore the prior 60-day negotiation window.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-17T00:00:13.261Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-24T16:08:28Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8102046901129101,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.004,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0045,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0045,"lastTradePrice":0.986,"bestBid":0.982,"bestAsk":0.986,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-24T16:07:27.981831Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1105744","question":"Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","conditionId":"0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f","slug":"will-nicols-maduro-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"70414.22082","startDate":"2026-01-04T18:21:26.507Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026-lOfqbUxiKAsg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026-lOfqbUxiKAsg.png","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).  \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan  government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.8235\", \"0.1765\"]","volume":"2595674.759197898","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-04T17:12:47.36729Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Nicolás Maduro","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b604","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2595674.759197898,"liquidityNum":70414.22082,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-04","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":109609.09786900206,"volume1wk":478526.3905690116,"volume1mo":673177.2353120184,"volume1yr":2595674.7591979816,"gameStartTime":"2026-04-17 23:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231\", \"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":109609.09786900206,"volume1wkClob":478526.3905690116,"volume1moClob":673177.2353120184,"volume1yrClob":2595674.7591979816,"volumeClob":2595674.759197898,"liquidityClob":70414.22082,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b600","negRiskRequestID":"0x429483ac5f937fc1d42183187bc0a1671f7c038a938d585352870f5c98f1312e","events":[{"id":"143443","ticker":"venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","slug":"venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","title":"Venezuela leader end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).  \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan  government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-01-04T18:21:09.391Z","creationDate":"2026-01-04T18:25:33.58471Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026-lOfqbUxiKAsg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026-lOfqbUxiKAsg.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":2256694.2772,"volume":94713765.83934487,"openInterest":577844.2431399999,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-01-04T17:12:44.762001Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:15:33.951457Z","competitive":0.9052622669260847,"volume24hr":149787.32496700206,"volume1wk":703296.3250900116,"volume1mo":2710403.287696015,"volume1yr":94713765.83934504,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":2256694.2772,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b600","commentCount":366,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-04T18:09:06.72373Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:31:40.544Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-04T18:21:03Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9052622669260847,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"277416","conditionId":"0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":12,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0015,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.013,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.026,"lastTradePrice":0.824,"bestBid":0.823,"bestAsk":0.824,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-04T18:09:34.553194Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"3083667","question":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?","conditionId":"0xf4dbb49b91ca1ed740fda3fdabe621758062fdea8bd236fdf2e540fb6a12a594","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-july-28","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"128756.03251","startDate":"2026-07-24T16:09:27.171851Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.9985\", \"0.0015\"]","volume":"344598.6708420002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-24T16:05:53.197039Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 28","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x727a7b91e18f839afb9fcb9625883a5af717eeb12f4b841ada0bfe57a87b190a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":344598.6708420002,"liquidityNum":128756.03251,"endDateIso":"2026-07-28","startDateIso":"2026-07-24","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":109239.78862199998,"volume1wk":344598.67084199993,"volume1mo":344598.67084199993,"volume1yr":344598.67084199993,"clobTokenIds":"[\"38886322264669784027672286592774757444905080686185967143832131463205582863002\", \"29324773843095974921382522468603198594048509962937431082215010009717465001422\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":109239.78862199998,"volume1wkClob":344598.67084199993,"volume1moClob":344598.67084199993,"volume1yrClob":344598.67084199993,"volumeClob":344598.6708420002,"liquidityClob":128756.03251,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"711714","ticker":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\nA military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-16T23:11:24.825515Z","creationDate":"2026-07-16T23:13:00.025133Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963-FEQHrNm5Q53X.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":677844.6018,"volume":10563001.891672002,"openInterest":1683221.8351190002,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-16T23:00:27.314496Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:02.510203Z","competitive":0.9979790923380155,"volume24hr":599905.820966,"volume1wk":7184493.480435004,"volume1mo":7960744.975601004,"volume1yr":7960744.975601004,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":677844.6018,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":91,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":13,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader sentiment on the durability of any Israel-Iran ceasefire framework. Iranian forces struck multiple commercial vessels in early July, prompting U.S. Central Command strikes on Iranian military targets and President Trump’s July 8 declaration that the June Islamabad Memorandum truce had ended. Both sides have since exchanged further strikes, with U.S. operations expanding deeper into Iran and Iranian missile responses targeting regional U.S. positions. Israel has maintained high alert status and signaled readiness for independent action while conducting separate operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, though it has not directly re-engaged Iranian territory in the latest exchanges. Negotiations on nuclear issues and a permanent settlement remain stalled amid mutual accusations of violations, with no scheduled diplomatic milestones in the immediate term that would restore the prior 60-day negotiation window.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-17T00:00:13.261Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-24T16:08:39Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8009597099244316,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.998,"bestAsk":0.999,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-24T16:07:28.014003Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3128583","question":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?","conditionId":"0xe694b9d67a28d66b3e0abbbc4c310e8d86533cde4f48bba31634cd62315a7579","slug":"will-wti-reach-85-in-july-2026-from-july-27","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","liquidity":"7734.9769","startDate":"2026-07-27T16:27:17Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" or \"Low\" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).\n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" and \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.555\", \"0.445\"]","volume":"117185.05994699993","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-27T16:27:05.927917Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ $85","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0x1c92798273c74e9fc4e3c205c27f281fb0e925ac8580298d9988c913895f6286","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":117185.05994699993,"liquidityNum":7734.9769,"endDateIso":"2026-08-01","startDateIso":"2026-07-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":106699.45430700002,"volume1wk":117185.059947,"volume1mo":117185.059947,"volume1yr":117185.059947,"gameStartTime":"2026-06-30 21:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":"[\"102392762547477728142320474845087865655320070397991326982507368215033387532605\", \"82480554619574499969865916271390315144328200509061322880012025148974330444493\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"3.5","volume24hrClob":106699.45430700002,"volume1wkClob":117185.059947,"volume1moClob":117185.059947,"volume1yrClob":117185.059947,"volumeClob":117185.05994699993,"liquidityClob":7734.9769,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"631914","ticker":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","slug":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","title":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","description":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","startDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","creationDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"volume":15117627.465561975,"openInterest":3411637.7951899995,"createdAt":"2026-06-25T04:01:33.457018Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:06.72682Z","competitive":0.9975062344139651,"volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume1wk":5174387.6978560025,"volume1mo":10621351.389759006,"volume1yr":10639210.135073006,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1229592.04421,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10820","ticker":"crude-oil-cl-hit","slug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","title":"Crude Oil (CL) hit__","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2025-12-30T20:23:06.61732Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:14:46.531216Z","volume24hr":1280250.169677001,"volume":15117627.465561975,"liquidity":1229592.04421,"commentCount":4942,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-25T04:01:00Z","seriesSlug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":8,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent progress toward a US-Iran peace deal and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply eased supply disruption fears that earlier drove WTI above $100/bbl. As of June 25, 2026, front-month WTI futures trade near $70, down sharply from Q2 peaks amid rising global inventories and softening demand. EIA projections highlight accelerating OECD stock draws through Q3 before gradual replenishment, while non-OPEC supply growth and OPEC+ unwind add downward pressure. Traders price in a swift return to surplus conditions, with July resolution likely hinging on the pace of Middle East production restarts and any near-term demand data releases. Volatility remains elevated given lingering geopolitical risks.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-25T05:00:13.274Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-27T16:27:17Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9969841230278408,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1041363","conditionId":"0xe694b9d67a28d66b3e0abbbc4c310e8d86533cde4f48bba31634cd62315a7579","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":100,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.03,"oneDayPriceChange":0.235,"oneHourPriceChange":0.115,"lastTradePrice":0.55,"bestBid":0.54,"bestAsk":0.57,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-27T16:27:07.208747Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2555351","question":"Israel closes its airspace by July 31?","conditionId":"0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59","slug":"israel-closes-its-airspace-by-july-31-287","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"70582.22633","startDate":"2026-06-15T18:48:08.71Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.049\", \"0.951\"]","volume":"2855917.107569009","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-15T17:54:21.17965Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:32.498572Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31","groupItemThreshold":"15","questionID":"0x806dd535ff28f753da417a42a2f815ae8d84768c2a5f3ba2de1f4aa7cae22b72","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2855917.107569009,"liquidityNum":70582.22633,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":106249.38591000003,"volume1wk":808370.4214919995,"volume1mo":2169699.6160089937,"volume1yr":2855917.1075689956,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83949391398129766321449386019175318571490128024347049307900487790711865604735\", \"17973586937761078448873484917108971852340583833844287573538816307502825884858\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":106249.38591000003,"volume1wkClob":808370.4214919995,"volume1moClob":2169699.6160089937,"volume1yrClob":2855917.1075689956,"volumeClob":2855917.107569009,"liquidityClob":70582.22633,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"449163","ticker":"israel-closes-its-airspace-by","slug":"israel-closes-its-airspace-by","title":"Israel closes its airspace by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. 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Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-04T23:52:26.542773Z","creationDate":"2026-05-04T23:52:26.542767Z","endDate":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":139350.90801,"volume":25248067.046748977,"openInterest":757083.815067,"createdAt":"2026-05-04T20:46:02.543394Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:16:22.063481Z","competitive":0.9577626664112633,"volume24hr":132510.30852800002,"volume1wk":1097490.2570759994,"volume1mo":2817223.8055849937,"volume1yr":3503442.1571449954,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":139350.90801,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":937,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Ongoing regional tensions stemming from the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone retaliation continue to shape airspace decisions, with Israeli authorities maintaining broad restrictions or temporary closures amid ongoing threats from proxies including Yemen-based groups. Trader consensus reflected in current low single-digit to low-teens probabilities for near-term full closures by late June or July aligns with the absence of new large-scale escalations since March, though recent intercept operations and siren activations have prompted brief suspensions. Key variables include military assessments of incoming threats, coordination with neighboring FIRs, and any diplomatic de-escalation signals that could permit phased reopening of Ben Gurion operations. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]","volume":"549868.5586740018","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-19T15:48:14.624315Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb6cc06fbb46f67a90062d501b29778c2bf41b0fac19a8647039ba21e884d7f1e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":549868.5586740018,"liquidityNum":2342.6709,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-11-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":70.912856,"volume1wk":2603.1973479999997,"volume1mo":8354.95208,"volume1yr":549868.5586739997,"clobTokenIds":"[\"34626184950254225208692030156208941308358060420950772251072421141618169142241\", \"28557614648090529004584076028720900603196666949274543515794672175624115225556\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":70.912856,"volume1wkClob":2603.1973479999997,"volume1moClob":8354.95208,"volume1yrClob":549868.5586739997,"volumeClob":549868.5586740018,"liquidityClob":2342.6709,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-19T15:49:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9433739770288437,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"990006","conditionId":"0xced0cb8725bad43d78fda0cd0e5fa9e31804625cb3502b2c7897f8e8f7fa9e1f","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-07-22","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.05,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.07,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.03,"lastTradePrice":0.28,"bestBid":0.23,"bestAsk":0.28,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-19T15:48:43.974869Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2694508","question":"Macron out by July 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x98e6e35c934b5281f28373b408a129825c6453918fb8bd9dfb8a991be2dd684f","slug":"macron-out-by-july-31-2026-20260626155530286","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"36152.27794","startDate":"2026-06-26T18:41:32.418846Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]","volume":"47307.43092799995","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-26T15:56:20.157318Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31, 2026","questionID":"0x0ec63e2627ac7ecd6302b5ceb5fb01373572f4d4d0b854438a104a625d9125a3","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":47307.43092799995,"liquidityNum":36152.27794,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":12108.405000000002,"volume1wk":26550.409526000003,"volume1mo":43774.35676700002,"volume1yr":47307.430928000016,"clobTokenIds":"[\"28543399540889573521326455114444614843465304193358852739098843595402438285283\", \"64737144597035632498370333432882203102562861720967881889541302920852035334778\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":12108.405000000002,"volume1wkClob":26550.409526000003,"volume1moClob":43774.35676700002,"volume1yrClob":47307.430928000016,"volumeClob":47307.43092799995,"liquidityClob":36152.27794,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-26T18:40:43Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8006398713852111,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0065,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.001,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestAsk":0.002,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-26T15:56:34.703342Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2354064","question":"Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x43204573cf724eda06c520a42a7cb97df319cc27ed997be3b96ca74398ede87f","slug":"will-the-next-uk-election-be-called-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"3205.7356","startDate":"2026-05-25T15:36:48.035407Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]","volume":"19739.693625","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-25T15:34:30.060986Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x72715bc1451a2d462f5b576ec8e76ba67b2e222b75caf0867a4eb860315d44ec","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":19739.693625,"liquidityNum":3205.7356,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-25","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":32.984702,"volume1wk":3334.998252,"volume1mo":12197.473570000002,"volume1yr":19739.693625,"clobTokenIds":"[\"31627048520492227354616069874124458767757243686332730237616510640600462926383\", \"37064221817179838225957455025143891294172126736355626367799841115771049178138\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":32.984702,"volume1wkClob":3334.998252,"volume1moClob":12197.473570000002,"volume1yrClob":19739.693625,"volumeClob":19739.693625,"liquidityClob":3205.7356,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-25T15:35:52Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9044657998869418,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.05,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.035,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.015,"lastTradePrice":0.15,"bestBid":0.15,"bestAsk":0.2,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-25T15:34:46.348865Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2640947","question":"Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?","conditionId":"0x37af2c38345cbcd330db09f4e24f5a698e65fecae25e1a017536d368980c7e59","slug":"will-the-next-uk-election-be-called-by-june-30-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-06-30T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"1068.0627","startDate":"2026-06-23T01:41:37.943908Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.275\", \"0.725\"]","volume":"3386.465735","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-22T16:10:17.660257Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2027","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xe3c8102197c611a224f11cb01f9079adb3a67ec6455fe1c74ca823b4983bf000","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3386.465735,"liquidityNum":1068.0627,"endDateIso":"2027-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-06-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"107219958277001528039363090221086762014320654735486594473497161402116705481865\", \"89034675872009302045032866075514273973117998987363316672397332831064378166140\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":3386.465735,"liquidityClob":1068.0627,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-23T01:40:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9518143961927424,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.07,"lastTradePrice":0.29,"bestBid":0.26,"bestAsk":0.29,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-23T01:39:48.532815Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"677404","question":"China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x6e6851f2698629795fa06869d961c986221a80cedcba10fbaf0ed220607cdada","slug":"china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"11257.221","startDate":"2025-11-13T23:10:40.603235Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Indian military forces. Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.\n\nNon-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however the Indian Coast Guard (ICG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]","volume":"202690.31106099984","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:49:28.471177Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xc2a372b6d397e93956701f3b0cf21da934e4678dbd6e80f18deb660792895bec","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":202690.31106099984,"liquidityNum":11257.221,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":99.656611,"volume1wk":1054.722894,"volume1mo":13610.156258999996,"volume1yr":202690.311061,"clobTokenIds":"[\"36135303630970774358991758965953725374791089628290212294816140371870983436829\", \"100818499003359884559774352671825765184103958625070066814408985574716007147193\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":99.656611,"volume1wkClob":1054.722894,"volume1moClob":13610.156258999996,"volume1yrClob":202690.311061,"volumeClob":202690.31106099984,"liquidityClob":11257.221,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T23:10:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.865033195648883,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.015,"lastTradePrice":0.11,"bestBid":0.1,"bestAsk":0.11,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T22:52:14.339969Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2749382","question":"NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x9ec578f6ec257edab771698bd600a8eac1e59709a4e8e9cd53986cf8387e80e6","slug":"natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"9187.8807","startDate":"2026-06-30T23:41:36.279645Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to \"Yes\" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]","volume":"88873.23173399994","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-30T23:39:02.930267Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x31620fe56388174dd5e3539eee888b5a41442b465a3be965b0e74f2d9dc94a8e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":88873.23173399994,"liquidityNum":9187.8807,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2.173912,"volume1wk":1472.942345,"volume1mo":88873.23173400002,"volume1yr":88873.23173400002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83822435716035660497147241422577858668594129234727507087266598622219382324322\", \"17799682251044587344253612662468317771332927166743838473163687802268935485073\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2.173912,"volume1wkClob":1472.942345,"volume1moClob":88873.23173400002,"volume1yrClob":88873.23173400002,"volumeClob":88873.23173399994,"liquidityClob":9187.8807,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-30T23:40:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.1,"bestBid":0.08,"bestAsk":0.11,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-30T23:39:43.581431Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1323364","question":"Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x3e4e5225054ad5168e0b249164f643453ba97a8947f84d7aacb4c768275d48e9","slug":"ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-its-territory-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"26316.1327","startDate":"2026-02-03T15:28:27.685198Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. \n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAn official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.\n\nThe April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0385\", \"0.9615\"]","volume":"84229.88360199989","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-03T00:49:21.271194Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x6f6e52fb5399e62dfe71ed948ec48559623f053ae9d18b14892441d555a3be3e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":84229.88360199989,"liquidityNum":26316.1327,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-02-03","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"111407906413483830198481741547621131014289190946534570245645667771579973364067\", \"112468620935063687606410022378078855998390735429551163191251582889945981781902\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":84229.88360199989,"liquidityClob":26316.1327,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-03T15:27:22Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8244143720981902,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0045,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.007,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0185,"lastTradePrice":0.049,"bestBid":0.038,"bestAsk":0.039,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-03T15:26:08.528222Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2261102","question":"Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xfaa78bad74daeb6e5296ae5785df7805275d00e84c81dc37954446132595caed","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-december-31-2026-924","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"16711.6864","startDate":"2026-05-14T15:50:14.726Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]","volume":"71673.48033300003","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-14T15:47:25.888438Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0xe95895cfda0599c4b93113ec17faf8d8e5f6c2af88b89687a3de84a3722d1c5f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":71673.48033300003,"liquidityNum":16711.6864,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":117,"volume1wk":4721.514756,"volume1mo":22151.054509999998,"volume1yr":71673.48033300004,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031\", \"50035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":117,"volume1wkClob":4721.514756,"volume1moClob":22151.054509999998,"volume1yrClob":71673.48033300004,"volumeClob":71673.48033300003,"liquidityClob":16711.6864,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-14T15:49:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8767123287671234,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"347551","conditionId":"0xfaa78bad74daeb6e5296ae5785df7805275d00e84c81dc37954446132595caed","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-05-14","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.035,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.035,"lastTradePrice":0.13,"bestBid":0.12,"bestAsk":0.13,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-14T15:48:11.152562Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2602067","question":"Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x0bd9ea5ce49559923c2929958afa1c699b0c1ace54cdd6ffa0b56506e9273d56","slug":"ukraine-election-called-by-august-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T11:00:00Z","liquidity":"19082.44398","startDate":"2026-06-19T01:12:17.959324Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.038\", \"0.962\"]","volume":"155018.86088300002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-19T00:39:13.016754Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x3c1b3521126759f28d31d776b34831d2cb032433a2f813fc95367ddaa03809fb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":155018.86088300002,"liquidityNum":19082.44398,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":473.71732599999996,"volume1wk":1660.8943760000002,"volume1mo":116468.82858999999,"volume1yr":155018.86088300002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"93493841580506086301850708011539393401066204405236876763051464421070051891780\", \"83943169380140685038489730889739849898318526088225940815697125664098988909042\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":473.71732599999996,"volume1wkClob":1660.8943760000002,"volume1moClob":116468.82858999999,"volume1yrClob":155018.86088300002,"volumeClob":155018.86088300002,"liquidityClob":19082.44398,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-19T01:11:29Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8241006589508869,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.018,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0015,"oneHourPriceChange":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0095,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.012,"lastTradePrice":0.046,"bestBid":0.029,"bestAsk":0.047,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-19T01:08:46.745724Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1807912","question":"Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x523959b6256674318eb34755789fffd8c62cd652e5fa11ffd332402361d058e9","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"23700.7273","startDate":"2026-03-31T15:43:38.314111Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nA country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]","volume":"368095.6983159999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-31T15:38:07.695444Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x4cf37227f2ae1efd681034fff6d250981d0eabef80304e642aa309e8a89b8b08","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":368095.6983159999,"liquidityNum":23700.7273,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-03-31","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3776.747935,"volume1wk":5171.316494,"volume1mo":156639.60091100007,"volume1yr":368095.69831599994,"clobTokenIds":"[\"97672112380588518658859221422581522664938121648778223046012006536512218182756\", \"111540681317740103557967262084337258765868556750780059317482948108124337120382\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3776.747935,"volume1wkClob":5171.316494,"volume1moClob":156639.60091100007,"volume1yrClob":368095.69831599994,"volumeClob":368095.6983159999,"liquidityClob":23700.7273,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-31T15:42:33Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8168584888648914,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.005,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.008,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0045,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.016,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0185,"lastTradePrice":0.03,"bestBid":0.024,"bestAsk":0.029,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-31T15:41:19.783627Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"677358","question":"Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xe29c8bf245ab35d14c722503922e6086da7dcfb08f357d1e8012331573d9e633","slug":"ukraine-election-held-by-december-31-2026-344-142","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"11998.2194","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:20:05.085Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-held-in-2025-H6Udnejt6bIP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-election-held-in-2025-H6Udnejt6bIP.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nIf elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]","volume":"229407.59703499966","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:24:22.343831Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x299c16d19e7f797754195a2ecf9ae6407a22753b482951b9a94ce4823a3c3bf5","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":229407.59703499966,"liquidityNum":11998.2194,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"109439459397675447272341488571573598040211823291452380402543262182060250075424\", \"65651447697756505945607381171434271908621057725573696706081861343152172944468\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":229407.59703499966,"liquidityClob":11998.2194,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:19:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8347071221385196,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.035,"lastTradePrice":0.06,"bestBid":0.05,"bestAsk":0.06,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:19:15.323361Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1048199","question":"Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?","conditionId":"0x0803b42cec5723f301f77f3ea818fcb393eb58b9694096cab2d4f8b81b4a2bdf","slug":"taylor-swift-pregnant-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"816.7381","startDate":"2025-12-28T23:03:36.92467Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025-5cpC3Ir4u5Pd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025-5cpC3Ir4u5Pd.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    \n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]","volume":"37354.25778199995","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-28T18:05:27.904845Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x8ff85dfc06c9fb612b7626d6e1d28b17f3903265b9c2bd6ae03791fd608cf6ce","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":37354.25778199995,"liquidityNum":816.7381,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-28","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1.11111,"volume1wk":33.383835,"volume1mo":2149.873461,"volume1yr":37354.257781999986,"clobTokenIds":"[\"44827572479353518081244438746113968420401867280288091969239280589388541478697\", \"98165997526504155072211489624964995141099749875757338865080345428663813769275\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1.11111,"volume1wkClob":33.383835,"volume1moClob":2149.873461,"volume1yrClob":37354.257781999986,"volumeClob":37354.25778199995,"liquidityClob":816.7381,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-28T23:03:15Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.865033195648883,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"93333","conditionId":"0x0803b42cec5723f301f77f3ea818fcb393eb58b9694096cab2d4f8b81b4a2bdf","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-05","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.155,"lastTradePrice":0.11,"bestBid":0.1,"bestAsk":0.11,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-28T23:02:44.465573Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2695405","question":"Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?","conditionId":"0x69921ff426f9fe82c3b03c078b67a4536dccd665fd729146829a5a1fa23f983a","slug":"mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by-july-31-20260626161802586","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"9371.46753","startDate":"2026-06-26T17:40:17.405125Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-in-2025-1-7k5VgFR3NF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-in-2025-1-7k5VgFR3NF.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]","volume":"2055.54234","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-26T16:18:50.802984Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x985c4c7f3c2d248bef9ec7a4ab97e32cd92f1db1ee6f3e35e3047e7d68bd528b","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2055.54234,"liquidityNum":9371.46753,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":721.319,"volume1wk":1265.573332,"volume1mo":1856.3655129999997,"volume1yr":2055.54234,"clobTokenIds":"[\"12490544545683735809859836636688692267624496872180131316231347159247995336501\", \"33865319322975964593291812426288534806560035088511494187514390578006049589035\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":721.319,"volume1wkClob":1265.573332,"volume1moClob":1856.3655129999997,"volume1yrClob":2055.54234,"volumeClob":2055.54234,"liquidityClob":9371.46753,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-26T17:39:28Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8009597099244316,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.003,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0585,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.003,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-26T16:18:55.81883Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"813506","question":"Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?","conditionId":"0xfa36659c97e233539fd77a8f9525d2f1664eba5ea57c4bed72c8101ba5266d15","slug":"mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by-december-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"9139.3734","startDate":"2025-12-04T17:01:14.95278Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-in-2025-1-7k5VgFR3NF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-in-2025-1-7k5VgFR3NF.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]","volume":"3446.5058390000017","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-03T22:43:56.792559Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x8d6bfec1cdbd361252009aa8a98526c77d8d7803495d902bb6e2d25cf31d6d0f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3446.5058390000017,"liquidityNum":9139.3734,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-04","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"113505976183184081887469552604570721227802596386749270798093363567289365382437\", \"102538487491850424790591550212489110219679828851969333270010095726524412529367\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":3446.5058390000017,"liquidityClob":9139.3734,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-04T17:00:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.865033195648883,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"111593","conditionId":"0xfa36659c97e233539fd77a8f9525d2f1664eba5ea57c4bed72c8101ba5266d15","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2026-07-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.03,"lastTradePrice":0.1,"bestBid":0.1,"bestAsk":0.11,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-04T16:50:34.854757Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2325588","question":"Another pandemic before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x71b1cc47f4cfe66e7aefa3705f1e55845a398e61788566463ee73a00f57ab59e","slug":"another-pandemic-before-gta-vi","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"44410.6549","startDate":"2026-05-21T21:10:08.125Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for another pandemic's occurrence will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]","volume":"34660.828727000495","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-21T21:05:21.441527Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Another Pandemic","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0xa23844eaec64d4fdf101e21f16237e21013353ebbf55649d2f4160d4c64f41c4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":34660.828727000495,"liquidityNum":44410.6549,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3175.930852,"volume1wk":6002.360675999972,"volume1mo":15007.984948000238,"volume1yr":34660.82872700023,"clobTokenIds":"[\"73519690123669857152453405885723415686475855163989537762769966905300245435421\", \"62146921459129643983706019071835400268748047142556153578498180948195146798405\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3175.930852,"volume1wkClob":6002.360675999972,"volume1moClob":15007.984948000238,"volume1yrClob":34660.82872700023,"volumeClob":34660.828727000495,"liquidityClob":44410.6549,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-21T21:09:12Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"385793","conditionId":"0x71b1cc47f4cfe66e7aefa3705f1e55845a398e61788566463ee73a00f57ab59e","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-05-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.49,"bestAsk":0.5,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-21T21:08:06.760762Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"540817","question":"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be","slug":"new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"9077.8217","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"880047.5503850344","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:04:43.762151Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Rihanna Album","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xb6fd5ea8c21f01471ad673950edd4a1645698946906abb27597e3f3de7bd70f1","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":880047.5503850344,"liquidityNum":9077.8217,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1874.2890419999978,"volume1wk":19871.43676799993,"volume1mo":36725.384947000486,"volume1yr":684255.1592809941,"clobTokenIds":"[\"98022490269692409998126496127597032490334070080325855126491859374983463996227\", \"53831553061883006530739877284105938919721408776239639687877978808906551086026\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1874.2890419999978,"volume1wkClob":19871.43676799993,"volume1moClob":36725.384947000486,"volume1yrClob":684255.1592809941,"volumeClob":880047.5503850344,"liquidityClob":9077.8217,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.07,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"540818","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"6381.369","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"752542.9164299731","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"New Playboi Carti Album ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":752542.9164299731,"liquidityNum":6381.369,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":779.1675200000006,"volume1wk":3307.637496999974,"volume1mo":7544.948119999956,"volume1yr":189944.82289999886,"clobTokenIds":"[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":779.1675200000006,"volume1wkClob":3307.637496999974,"volume1moClob":7544.948119999956,"volume1yrClob":189944.82289999886,"volumeClob":752542.9164299731,"liquidityClob":6381.369,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"384670","conditionId":"0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.135,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"540819","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"238324.4366","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]","volume":"11899422.772458697","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:08:16.157823Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Jesus Christ returns","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x9e84e9020884d3e603df981dc049bed477b64acfc623a739a7c51fed8de6cc5c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":11899422.772458697,"liquidityNum":238324.4366,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":16927.918466999996,"volume1wk":34438.108208000216,"volume1mo":159368.9196319988,"volume1yr":11140022.204164905,"clobTokenIds":"[\"90435811253665578014957380826505992530054077692143838383981805324273750424057\", \"92388629082681805622801622703528982922543286352927708208755887536971583436902\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":16927.918466999996,"volume1wkClob":34438.108208000216,"volume1moClob":159368.9196319988,"volume1yrClob":11140022.204164905,"volumeClob":11899422.772458697,"liquidityClob":238324.4366,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"459753","conditionId":"0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-06-14","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.34,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.49,"bestAsk":0.5,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.72195Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"540820","question":"Trump out as President before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"94972.971","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.107Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]","volume":"714807.5707890079","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:15:30.618414Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Trump out as President ","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0xedea9101297fbb648d3a2ac06b936f801919660e9514a7ff7fe6c17c40cd8fed","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":714807.5707890079,"liquidityNum":94972.971,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":7186.375674000001,"volume1wk":12320.573110000005,"volume1mo":23866.044595000003,"volume1yr":674547.6623850096,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108999723207897941876452935557011604067917389120996960199512481363958770540884\", \"64533579809297525579033609963634939501013332859992608996100633472507000251907\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":7186.375674000001,"volume1wkClob":12320.573110000005,"volume1moClob":23866.044595000003,"volume1yrClob":674547.6623850096,"volumeClob":714807.5707890079,"liquidityClob":94972.971,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"350879","conditionId":"0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.28,"lastTradePrice":0.5,"bestBid":0.49,"bestAsk":0.5,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.726154Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"540843","question":"Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","slug":"will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716-644","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"40407.0675","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.6Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"1929044.436718062","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:22:02.679893Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"China invades Taiwan ","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x68ac8b4c60870980ae87c3a1da8730f46755c5e66c715032fc6c90b53f2ec4ec","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1929044.436718062,"liquidityNum":40407.0675,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3004.4861409999985,"volume1wk":9994.007945000023,"volume1mo":40880.64846099979,"volume1yr":1883755.2939550825,"clobTokenIds":"[\"21695138873211375451055566770107682325494206727818897067665810321709249824909\", \"17516427576383382756368467656206258206490015951115433065318503962238754362428\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3004.4861409999985,"volume1wkClob":9994.007945000023,"volume1moClob":40880.64846099979,"volume1yrClob":1883755.2939550825,"volumeClob":1929044.436718062,"liquidityClob":40407.0675,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"613015","conditionId":"0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-06-23","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.31,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.723394Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"540844","question":"Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872-424","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"136656.68575","startDate":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.361Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.4985\", \"0.5015\"]","volume":"4762413.599488671","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Bitcoin hits $1m","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4762413.599488671,"liquidityNum":136656.68575,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-05-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3975.359871999996,"volume1wk":74738.88975300077,"volume1mo":212235.98798099946,"volume1yr":4637163.988586777,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3975.359871999996,"volume1wkClob":74738.88975300077,"volume1moClob":212235.98798099946,"volume1yrClob":4637163.988586777,"volumeClob":4762413.599488671,"liquidityClob":136656.68575,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999977500050625,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"902425","conditionId":"0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-07-14","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.003,"oneYearPriceChange":0.3185,"lastTradePrice":0.498,"bestBid":0.498,"bestAsk":0.499,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"573647","question":"Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"26102.7285","startDate":"2025-08-07T14:21:34.535Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nTo qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","volume":"691565.9364640245","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xF572b3B4BE2c67837A206F660cA7b51F0D7e585F","createdAt":"2025-08-07T14:03:41.38976Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"GPT-6 released","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x9c4c41b0d3e1a61764250a0f6f53a26e073df17fe4d892699283fae2fa94eabb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":691565.9364640245,"liquidityNum":26102.7285,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2025-08-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":924.1837960000005,"volume1wk":6482.043430999992,"volume1mo":21333.824594000158,"volume1yr":691565.936463992,"clobTokenIds":"[\"71552623345730992280501476931299615437386807576519105089437764117985071980606\", \"48266425622404486484896353767723266081505997963592758694068789352158715350186\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":924.1837960000005,"volume1wkClob":6482.043430999992,"volume1moClob":21333.824594000158,"volume1yrClob":691565.936463992,"volumeClob":691565.9364640245,"liquidityClob":26102.7285,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:21:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9999750006249843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"374592","conditionId":"0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-18","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.51,"bestBid":0.5,"bestAsk":0.51,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-07T14:20:42.400176Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"general_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"544092","question":"Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?","conditionId":"0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f","slug":"will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"2299.94255","startDate":"2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. 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Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA \"consumer hardware product\" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.\n\nExamples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]","volume":"5845.786346000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-15T19:57:05.40143Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"October 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0xac1fa7084e876cef53888c153e551625eb169ca7385b50e275531f188c98dcce","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":5845.786346000001,"liquidityNum":10543.7119,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":91.71000000000001,"volume1wk":940.8794029999998,"volume1mo":5845.786345999999,"volume1yr":5845.786345999999,"clobTokenIds":"[\"80200285462798255511528092965117324052906426974497880890509227715056059741986\", \"9525187342823240252095521993184621276274905331584208961029140930473890765812\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":91.71000000000001,"volume1wkClob":940.8794029999998,"volume1moClob":5845.786345999999,"volume1yrClob":5845.786345999999,"volumeClob":5845.786346000001,"liquidityClob":10543.7119,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-15T19:58:37Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9248768757659137,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"917881","conditionId":"0xf1fa8b7530ceec866131fbc6681209e39d6b448bdca563b46d936cc792e6cf7a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":100,"startDate":"2026-07-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.22,"bestBid":0.21,"bestAsk":0.22,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-15T19:57:27.347103Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"676804","question":"Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xf53d2cf86bf4ea3c6a0bfb739cc0dded28001dde6eee5f90b8bb6716ce33571a","slug":"will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-by-december-31-2026-538","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"640.3491","startDate":"2025-11-12T21:34:19.494Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA \"consumer hardware product\" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.\n\nExamples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]","volume":"38234.11168900002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T17:59:14.261328Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0xa992846e25425dc44ce093ebc7f836c4d4995c5e58ef97631c64ddb224d80117","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":38234.11168900002,"liquidityNum":640.3491,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":18.92,"volume1wk":38.192726,"volume1mo":7439.107178999998,"volume1yr":38234.111689,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108052633825118494550832240247980096965299835115818656939682823516952479310001\", \"109032054135515324372392914003878608801870315631474102526082551908911817990775\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":18.92,"volume1wkClob":38.192726,"volume1moClob":7439.107178999998,"volume1yrClob":38234.111689,"volumeClob":38234.11168900002,"liquidityClob":640.3491,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-12T21:33:57Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9765386587241522,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"917873","conditionId":"0xf53d2cf86bf4ea3c6a0bfb739cc0dded28001dde6eee5f90b8bb6716ce33571a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":30,"startDate":"2026-07-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.13,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.07,"lastTradePrice":0.44,"bestBid":0.28,"bestAsk":0.41,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-12T21:33:29.318033Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2159718","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","conditionId":"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30-256-333","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"52337.7399","startDate":"2026-05-04T20:45:49.435Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.855\", \"0.145\"]","volume":"427305.4471760001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-04T20:42:57.818734Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"13","questionID":"0x6bbdd2110eb729279f3bc5a99ae1489aef85cfcd27e31c4f6cacb3f5c492f3fd","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":427305.4471760001,"liquidityNum":52337.7399,"endDateIso":"2026-09-30","startDateIso":"2026-05-04","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":6208.5471529999995,"volume1wk":30695.385029,"volume1mo":332689.8747889999,"volume1yr":427305.447176,"clobTokenIds":"[\"55628874182306186050631811887515133881663823417535899038376461448048315313936\", \"63712527751974257201038440220031691363508120012860375402898424160848105925111\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":6208.5471529999995,"volume1wkClob":30695.385029,"volume1moClob":332689.8747889999,"volume1yrClob":427305.447176,"volumeClob":427305.4471760001,"liquidityClob":52337.7399,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-04T20:44:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8880797495615106,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"309744","conditionId":"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":20,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.09,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.115,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.085,"lastTradePrice":0.86,"bestBid":0.85,"bestAsk":0.86,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-04T20:43:27.503491Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2608935","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?","conditionId":"0x06c901b3983cd58bec34252a72a74d4a2f2a64e6ad359967a864dc424997967a","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-july-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"5756.38762","startDate":"2026-06-19T17:52:41.175502Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.066\", \"0.934\"]","volume":"273874.27573099965","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-19T17:50:15.338036Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"11","questionID":"0xe2be9fe4b7fb54867fab2acd424dffc624c6a823219db389c557e05d744897d3","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":273874.27573099965,"liquidityNum":5756.38762,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3378.677125,"volume1wk":39088.41779800001,"volume1mo":262008.54861599975,"volume1yr":273874.27573099977,"clobTokenIds":"[\"74262568044285840417555465910703355991632422692108408453199177956025235702892\", \"27439106235775318645595032971458838971379139916658536272028798702332813745098\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3378.677125,"volume1wkClob":39088.41779800001,"volume1moClob":262008.54861599975,"volume1yrClob":273874.27573099977,"volumeClob":273874.27573099965,"liquidityClob":5756.38762,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-19T17:51:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8414986754810848,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"633642","conditionId":"0x06c901b3983cd58bec34252a72a74d4a2f2a64e6ad359967a864dc424997967a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.012,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.044,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.099,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.414,"lastTradePrice":0.072,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.072,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-19T17:50:50.506802Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2853652","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?","conditionId":"0x65dba70f1ce2e78bdc1c82ae6325d32b2ffbe2fe0eaec0e39e70c3dadfa44f94","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-august-31-1","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"20465.5344","startDate":"2026-07-09T02:01:01.58785Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.555\", \"0.445\"]","volume":"84072.8288129999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-09T01:58:35.511456Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"12","questionID":"0x414f84f76a763539e4af1d51fa079c171d1466c68c3b3630458842bd8eefd384","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":84072.8288129999,"liquidityNum":20465.5344,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1472.116805,"volume1wk":31331.273198000014,"volume1mo":84072.828813,"volume1yr":84072.828813,"clobTokenIds":"[\"75450938030663819696107743188961274408991378337732826543927521255350461461621\", \"102014344590877510111307026183396382993200803565841268936861018160343144455955\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1472.116805,"volume1wkClob":31331.273198000014,"volume1moClob":84072.828813,"volume1yrClob":84072.828813,"volumeClob":84072.8288129999,"liquidityClob":20465.5344,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-09T02:00:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9969841230278408,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"834182","conditionId":"0x65dba70f1ce2e78bdc1c82ae6325d32b2ffbe2fe0eaec0e39e70c3dadfa44f94","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":10,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.035,"lastTradePrice":0.56,"bestBid":0.55,"bestAsk":0.56,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T01:59:16.342483Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"677366","question":"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","slug":"will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-2026-936-942-271-276-578-687-312-238","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"228123.17825","startDate":"2025-11-13T16:24:05.994Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.921\", \"0.079\"]","volume":"1497340.2449199962","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T22:27:09.238172Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"14","questionID":"0xb4756d4c88a97988c3aa438fcec0b0b77634e7cfc85f4cbfe3db83572c976aae","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1497340.2449199962,"liquidityNum":228123.17825,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":8591.373147,"volume1wk":224148.641027,"volume1mo":880579.1775260003,"volume1yr":1497340.2449200002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"83552904656813968939383082097054433404653657244784709614448703928529504455469\", \"47029152085101973226255505664149277121974669906212969183902148537312535402801\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":8591.373147,"volume1wkClob":224148.641027,"volume1moClob":880579.1775260003,"volume1yrClob":1497340.2449200002,"volumeClob":1497340.2449199962,"liquidityClob":228123.17825,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8494437417657047,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"291707","conditionId":"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.019,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0045,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0245,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.036,"lastTradePrice":0.916,"bestBid":0.916,"bestAsk":0.926,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-13T16:23:15.444123Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1007579","question":"Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?","conditionId":"0x6176cc868c8893cf431ae1e8103d4d4c1fcfcf239c3b3415b672151337125884","slug":"will-russia-capture-sumy-by-march-31-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-03-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"18522.325","startDate":"2025-12-23T23:02:06.89Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-sofiivka-by-april-30-xHE-DWW9kL3z.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-sofiivka-by-april-30-xHE-DWW9kL3z.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg\n\nSumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]","volume":"399881.93055700714","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-23T22:30:21.792558Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2027","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x181c6dfc8d24cd07cff8b804a37b96de8ff0d5ec2c8f7fee81f882e78450d329","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":399881.93055700714,"liquidityNum":18522.325,"endDateIso":"2027-03-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":848.47,"volume1wk":53454.786532,"volume1mo":102321.031337,"volume1yr":399881.93055700115,"clobTokenIds":"[\"53233529358602879115478722993262404502732073224174276202211965211706009589067\", \"76350537296247188972152277947349396667408693228883257954471424426267688952517\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":848.47,"volume1wkClob":53454.786532,"volume1moClob":102321.031337,"volume1yrClob":399881.93055700115,"volumeClob":399881.93055700714,"liquidityClob":18522.325,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-23T23:01:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8439530762089628,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"291748","conditionId":"0x6176cc868c8893cf431ae1e8103d4d4c1fcfcf239c3b3415b672151337125884","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneHourPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.055,"lastTradePrice":0.05,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.08,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-23T22:31:08.293347Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1068327","question":"Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026","conditionId":"0xd3a3c1d537142ebc94ae25f7b268ce64e4e43e6452c5a912221d2e2744aeb312","slug":"will-pumpfun-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"2943.2015","startDate":"2025-12-30T20:43:41.136Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pumpfun-launch-a-token-by-RzTi7_aC42Qa.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pumpfun-launch-a-token-by-RzTi7_aC42Qa.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]","volume":"175478.45861699956","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-30T20:42:32.722107Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x3ee2f1ea39556ef0f3ad354b603715cced6f7acc2ce6e6e286918e1b2000998b","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":175478.45861699956,"liquidityNum":2943.2015,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-12-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":406.84580900000003,"volume1mo":6538.399556,"volume1yr":175478.45861699973,"clobTokenIds":"[\"23979773390611496299652546131606735686099256186322678196712320732715801255871\", \"46094258080196889322046056727689179412841124675494563561748811364384667201787\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":18,"volume1wkClob":406.84580900000003,"volume1moClob":6538.399556,"volume1yrClob":175478.45861699973,"volumeClob":175478.45861699956,"liquidityClob":2943.2015,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-30T20:43:19Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8709094471902284,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"221696","conditionId":"0xd3a3c1d537142ebc94ae25f7b268ce64e4e43e6452c5a912221d2e2744aeb312","assetAddress":"0x2791bca1f2de4661ed88a30c99a7a9449aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-04-22","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.075,"lastTradePrice":0.11,"bestBid":0.11,"bestAsk":0.12,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-30T20:42:46.385428Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2100106","question":"Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?","conditionId":"0x12ed4858fd4aa92e1a644c74273ca76f49735c114d6833f8a3edef4f19e5ebff","slug":"will-hyperliquid-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2027-117","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"467.2094","startDate":"2026-04-27T21:28:09.225Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hyperliquid-up-or-down-on-may-22-Fyo58T8HF0AC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hyperliquid-up-or-down-on-may-22-Fyo58T8HF0AC.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.4\", \"0.6\"]","volume":"2625.4923829999993","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-27T21:25:09.476682Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2027","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0x90e38c0214da1974950002bb83ce781c20924410fdb54cb39054b3b142a55260","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2625.4923829999993,"liquidityNum":467.2094,"endDateIso":"2028-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-04-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"35599907049186982879557420969598528789434547136942253652554709047485665633870\", \"18054759644013870900749170809345467324611742242067616964612696305379357034954\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":2625.4923829999993,"liquidityClob":467.2094,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:27:06Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9900990099009901,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.08,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.125,"lastTradePrice":0.31,"bestBid":0.36,"bestAsk":0.44,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:25:56.541567Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2244109","question":"Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?","conditionId":"0xd0e73ac0d00e8caf9cb7e74bcb024f94e57f34847f80ec2d4a0e3c57dbee7f19","slug":"will-hyperliquid-perform-an-airdrop-by-june-30-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-07-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"523.3909","startDate":"2026-05-12T19:45:54.129729Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hyperliquid-up-or-down-on-may-22-Fyo58T8HF0AC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hyperliquid-up-or-down-on-may-22-Fyo58T8HF0AC.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]","volume":"738.380698","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-12T19:37:45.161001Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2027","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x431cb00a379a813fcb8f6c48ff628212b97538943c8ff66cf8b08005e365666d","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":738.380698,"liquidityNum":523.3909,"endDateIso":"2027-07-01","startDateIso":"2026-05-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"18110789428391406482230306080653613096309178214543987995456679527322864131310\", \"62313236991955111601391854345293627475130543547194366725001724474611291151185\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":738.380698,"liquidityClob":523.3909,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-12T19:44:58Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9476651898884124,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.27,"bestBid":0.26,"bestAsk":0.27,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-12T19:43:49.472237Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"622738","question":"Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? ","conditionId":"0xfa88bedd0403281fac1b3c8b310755040aabed8ba12ded1b2e3205a3d05a4a28","slug":"will-hyperliquid-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","liquidity":"2557.6392","startDate":"2025-10-05T20:05:59.793815Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hyperliquid-up-or-down-on-may-22-Fyo58T8HF0AC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hyperliquid-up-or-down-on-may-22-Fyo58T8HF0AC.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]","volume":"146636.8060690001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-05T20:04:25.962415Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x66e74f093af3df8654cfa63fecf9fb1313b1556c10a8a2e49aeca5ba9759a59a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":146636.8060690001,"liquidityNum":2557.6392,"startDateIso":"2025-10-05","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":200,"volume1wk":415.681261,"volume1mo":7343.820231999999,"volume1yr":146636.80606900004,"clobTokenIds":"[\"101513571766435454355723114188696307527864518980689079866102837918467349506537\", \"85487630954297906857427842745787851948079273488527800245673979479655643658539\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":200,"volume1wkClob":415.681261,"volume1moClob":7343.820231999999,"volume1yrClob":146636.80606900004,"volumeClob":146636.8060690001,"liquidityClob":2557.6392,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-05T20:05:39Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8824372917999515,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"96523","conditionId":"0xfa88bedd0403281fac1b3c8b310755040aabed8ba12ded1b2e3205a3d05a4a28","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-07","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.045,"lastTradePrice":0.13,"bestBid":0.13,"bestAsk":0.14,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-05T20:05:07.598175Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2119266","question":"Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x10d8e0d7123623b6cd8303aab6d2e61792b8aded915336efb3adc11df448937b","slug":"will-megaeth-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"475.1761","startDate":"2026-04-29T21:35:24.69066Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch-KzYK3qwuIK8t.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch-KzYK3qwuIK8t.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]","volume":"10294.630956999994","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-29T21:32:45.048017Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x49dfe6b44ee3e86aa28855c3896b1a0181b5bcf7eb9f2672c6515d42d87c8582","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":10294.630956999994,"liquidityNum":475.1761,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-04-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"4073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640\", \"57444375933620596258067193404376499933911971337929532732080247805234422208790\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":10294.630956999994,"liquidityClob":475.1761,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-29T21:34:20Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9017945711966814,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"350937","conditionId":"0x10d8e0d7123623b6cd8303aab6d2e61792b8aded915336efb3adc11df448937b","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.1,"oneDayPriceChange":0.015,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.025,"lastTradePrice":0.21,"bestBid":0.12,"bestAsk":0.22,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-29T21:33:06.861252Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"559651","question":"Xi Jinping out before 2027?","conditionId":"0xa467b14d51f01b957109d9cbb1d6c124fab2a089d52ed8f471d23c2812e743b7","slug":"xi-jinping-out-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"250595.7579","startDate":"2025-07-03T20:37:00.228Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/xi-jinping-out-in-2025-EjF4SM20eaa3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/xi-jinping-out-in-2025-EjF4SM20eaa3.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]","volume":"109622.17582099998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-06T21:30:31.116112Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x3431c78f3b8c582cfbeba1c07b7b2ed647680524f74a81561eceec209b1bbd66","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":109622.17582099998,"liquidityNum":79010.30755,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-06","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":6736.933777,"volume1wk":27510.965677,"volume1mo":109622.175821,"volume1yr":109622.175821,"clobTokenIds":"[\"101595176881003480479856571396770457861292740071631717465173658785305718765060\", \"69255676899700790711525989127308958019475795404138315524495668898066870353801\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":6736.933777,"volume1wkClob":27510.965677,"volume1moClob":109622.175821,"volume1yrClob":109622.175821,"volumeClob":109622.17582099998,"liquidityClob":79010.30755,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-06T21:33:37Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8092511978435074,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.003,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0025,"lastTradePrice":0.012,"bestBid":0.013,"bestAsk":0.016,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-06T21:32:04.402185Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2822005","question":"Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0xc788500313fb20ebab5b6577c3dcfc24e911e44e45c3aebabb8eee4bb70f4431","slug":"putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-september-30-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-09-30T18:30:00Z","liquidity":"79086.02553","startDate":"2026-07-06T21:34:47.71577Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-in-2025-nWuurkC8qfbi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-in-2025-nWuurkC8qfbi.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). 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If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]","volume":"4015220.6739919414","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-07-11T19:29:38.154529Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Republican Party","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xd4ec843b5228dfe0779147cf13ca9954bc22edc63876954dc2fb95fcee42ef01","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4015220.6739919414,"liquidityNum":291969.7008,"endDateIso":"2026-11-03","startDateIso":"2025-07-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":86688.904433,"volume1wk":107862.274242,"volume1mo":395996.5297379997,"volume1yr":4005888.940232027,"clobTokenIds":"[\"65139230827417363158752884968303867495725894165574887635816574090175320800482\", \"17371217118862125782438074585166210555214661810823929795910191856905580975576\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"10000","umaReward":"10","volume24hrClob":86688.904433,"volume1wkClob":107862.274242,"volume1moClob":395996.5297379997,"volume1yrClob":4005888.940232027,"volumeClob":4015220.6739919414,"liquidityClob":291969.7008,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xd4ec843b5228dfe0779147cf13ca9954bc22edc63876954dc2fb95fcee42ef00","negRiskRequestID":"0x4801e8039e4bb8ec8e2606b4de5639a44f5a9110bdfa06842fa0b0c817a63919","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-11T19:50:24Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8824372917999515,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"633342","conditionId":"0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":10,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.04,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.16,"lastTradePrice":0.14,"bestBid":0.13,"bestAsk":0.14,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"red","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-11T19:48:58.060883Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1057349","question":"Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x2fa7fc0460e9459d52c5864e8b5d64b4b984e2e39001e4b83c2c3e50949befe7","slug":"jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"25892.99579","startDate":"2025-12-29T14:05:43.201815Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025-UrxmkWMmuZ8V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025-UrxmkWMmuZ8V.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nIf control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. \n\nIf control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. 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A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nIf control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. \n\nIf control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. 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A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nIf control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. \n\nIf control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. 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A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nIf control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. \n\nIf control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]","volume":"2008267.3763080135","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-07-11T20:47:55.353588Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Republicans Sweep","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x7b95a46fc059d27ac3404325fd6280974d96949102201de57b8595f802d7fc03","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2008267.3763080135,"liquidityNum":241430.0527,"endDateIso":"2026-11-03","startDateIso":"2025-07-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5219.862408,"volume1wk":33486.48978199999,"volume1mo":201273.98726700002,"volume1yr":1982374.0111669947,"clobTokenIds":"[\"103704141773947678931823410030956181918562062788486034785782641603149828893320\", \"25869296386911654049715489068824757745174681288397238521780118949553760488529\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"10000","umaReward":"10","volume24hrClob":5219.862408,"volume1wkClob":33486.48978199999,"volume1moClob":201273.98726700002,"volume1yrClob":1982374.0111669947,"volumeClob":2008267.3763080135,"liquidityClob":241430.0527,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7b95a46fc059d27ac3404325fd6280974d96949102201de57b8595f802d7fc00","negRiskRequestID":"0x8e48e4a168ae49c01bd8f6ea399949ef8eaa25db2474ea006f339a341cfefb1e","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-11T21:05:04Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8824372917999515,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"632971","conditionId":"0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.04,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.09,"lastTradePrice":0.14,"bestBid":0.13,"bestAsk":0.14,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-11T21:04:10.141109Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"562832","question":"2026 Balance of Power: Other","conditionId":"0x7987a821b8032824f1805ee39eb5dfb8f64603e4e9e673259eb76f82b439fd3d","slug":"2026-balance-of-power-other-131","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"161685.37622","startDate":"2025-07-11T21:05:37.115Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balance-of-power-2024-election-r-Fp-y4ONJBS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balance-of-power-2024-election-r-Fp-y4ONJBS.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n\nA party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.\n\nA party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.\n\nA candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nIf control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. \n\nIf control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]","volume":"1709430.0295450136","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-07-11T20:47:55.924227Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Other","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x7b95a46fc059d27ac3404325fd6280974d96949102201de57b8595f802d7fc04","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1709430.0295450136,"liquidityNum":161685.37622,"endDateIso":"2026-11-03","startDateIso":"2025-07-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3300.2718000000004,"volume1wk":27097.33379899997,"volume1mo":132004.7874899999,"volume1yr":1697157.4790460034,"clobTokenIds":"[\"35477631289241705233759154026285946627439635224019448868888132647783862821489\", \"58154574909590813657096858535882625339077077643653677858955479541043465171526\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"10000","umaReward":"10","volume24hrClob":3300.2718000000004,"volume1wkClob":27097.33379899997,"volume1moClob":132004.7874899999,"volume1yrClob":1697157.4790460034,"volumeClob":1709430.0295450136,"liquidityClob":161685.37622,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7b95a46fc059d27ac3404325fd6280974d96949102201de57b8595f802d7fc00","negRiskRequestID":"0x28bbe3897a09ae3b5a35c278cfb6ac7edc12e442d69a954cf2be7f10bd8ffaf9","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-11T21:05:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8035160254240507,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.001,"oneYearPriceChange":0.0015,"lastTradePrice":0.005,"bestBid":0.005,"bestAsk":0.006,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-11T21:04:10.143Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"563650","question":"SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?     ","conditionId":"0x139ba0e7f931f09466c0fb27fc8ddb5e77ce9d1e2bdc953a5f22765bf779452f","slug":"scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"9248.22827","startDate":"2025-07-16T19:37:42.408Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026-fYCnFfdr4Hha.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026-fYCnFfdr4Hha.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.\n\nThe certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.\n\nThe certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. ","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.7\", \"0.3\"]","volume":"12734.165955000006","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-21T01:23:15.67112Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xb7bff01db7250565ef977498e6a120f61595f04da699aa8570d7ee3128371595","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":12734.165955000006,"liquidityNum":471.9811,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"44488146241641686838477630423381146915926290111161217223359635890474557300976\", \"55066760863682681011750966950739411296364830422172387835703592639644113734177\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":12734.165955000006,"liquidityClob":471.9811,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-21T01:29:02Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9615384615384615,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.02,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.345,"lastTradePrice":0.7,"bestBid":0.69,"bestAsk":0.71,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-21T01:28:32.87771Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"565064","question":"Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","conditionId":"0x0a99479228e93524b25676ae69b94bd3f4278a6bca8d8c265c84d24755399cf5","slug":"will-the-republicans-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"384411.9272","startDate":"2025-07-18T17:30:54.28002Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/republicans+2028.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/republicans+2028.png","description":"The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. 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If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]","volume":"882194.0820279995","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-07-18T16:09:59.684978Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Democratic","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xdc4bd1724b696666c58f5f1a32e7a0b8127d28e17edb364203a0da16f4927601","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":882194.0820279995,"liquidityNum":387909.2504,"endDateIso":"2028-11-07","startDateIso":"2025-07-18","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3.99,"volume1wk":38933.937394,"volume1mo":53593.862297999985,"volume1yr":852198.5465350013,"clobTokenIds":"[\"49084048476353771153083262278964615095037480324537117350127265918750912547378\", \"1376044590327709616459174469529480611299625159235587466149878628404281805565\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"10000","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3.99,"volume1wkClob":38933.937394,"volume1moClob":53593.862297999985,"volume1yrClob":852198.5465350013,"volumeClob":882194.0820279995,"liquidityClob":387909.2504,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xdc4bd1724b696666c58f5f1a32e7a0b8127d28e17edb364203a0da16f4927600","negRiskRequestID":"0x92f535fa263cde54a10bddbc0f4bcb4a45202767d108082d0bb8001f411a0621","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-18T17:30:31Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9928268261808434,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"359792","conditionId":"0xb106a3c9d1c59ed8117493dae6459a3ff79369a8f7cddaf62f4a05828b89195e","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":0.04,"lastTradePrice":0.58,"bestBid":0.58,"bestAsk":0.59,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-18T17:27:59.816747Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"567689","question":"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","conditionId":"0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803","slug":"zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"147533.7079","startDate":"2025-07-24T23:37:37.149Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-by-october-31-vvfzvJSdhPij.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-by-october-31-vvfzvJSdhPij.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]","volume":"2808327.1858809465","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0x13b0e0196e0B877d7Eb6C0d64C2f888670234ed8","createdAt":"2025-07-24T23:14:11.033603Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x34ad9eebf5c7b8af90f37071c99657009c4914d0e13ea4867aa9bc9e908560bc","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2808327.1858809465,"liquidityNum":147533.7079,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-07-24","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3929.9582560000003,"volume1wk":57104.61748300001,"volume1mo":290064.43998100015,"volume1yr":2788040.383240978,"clobTokenIds":"[\"108187737663325442737199857734058032845728149267925579081973309839049299838520\", \"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3929.9582560000003,"volume1wkClob":57104.61748300001,"volume1moClob":290064.43998100015,"volume1yrClob":2788040.383240978,"volumeClob":2808327.1858809465,"liquidityClob":147533.7079,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-24T23:37:16Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8470089994706194,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"407324","conditionId":"0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":30,"startDate":"2026-05-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.03,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.04,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.34,"lastTradePrice":0.08,"bestBid":0.07,"bestAsk":0.08,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-24T23:36:46.044018Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"567690","question":"Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x14501df0ca5ec395792b0614b18133b72e702a9a2615dd0a4b3f0c6e097de081","slug":"erdoan-out-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"27276.4195","startDate":"2025-07-24T23:37:48.242Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/erdoan-out-in-2025-brAWCvEk1bDo.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/erdoan-out-in-2025-brAWCvEk1bDo.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]","volume":"575327.6248330207","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xc7b5f22Bf4BfE231b1223FA8F90c666A10cCC27d","createdAt":"2025-07-24T23:17:29.994819Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x9a833ab143122eaeb3a09415614cab64787b2972845790d051200d963c98e6eb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":575327.6248330207,"liquidityNum":27276.4195,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-07-24","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":57.52,"volume1wk":2709.4168139999992,"volume1mo":49266.23599400013,"volume1yr":569663.2080789998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"60482166031720291380868655057144166386114272673178755337360544583400474201659\", \"36584990740430575779853916178487409250519468755041580140068769472851047579138\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":57.52,"volume1wkClob":2709.4168139999992,"volume1moClob":49266.23599400013,"volume1yrClob":569663.2080789998,"volumeClob":575327.6248330207,"liquidityClob":27276.4195,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-24T23:37:26Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8347071221385196,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"360148","conditionId":"0x14501df0ca5ec395792b0614b18133b72e702a9a2615dd0a4b3f0c6e097de081","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-16","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.14,"lastTradePrice":0.06,"bestBid":0.05,"bestAsk":0.06,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-24T23:36:46.045577Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"568116","question":"Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?","conditionId":"0x4c8ceef9b9c0a27b6b4efa7c398ece4a5eeda76502f722de398c232abefe2ede","slug":"will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"120828.0719","startDate":"2025-07-25T18:48:03.678Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-be-impeached-in-2025-bm5xwPQil7AC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-be-impeached-in-2025-bm5xwPQil7AC.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNeither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0275\", \"0.9725\"]","volume":"983109.0882570049","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xa193378f1f7316548994ca572cb4c9b659134d82","createdAt":"2025-07-25T18:28:50.747813Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xe8c367bafaa73b1c564a84edf203004ff19ce3c2587ee30e756d4a8d486a9bd4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":983109.0882570049,"liquidityNum":120828.0719,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-07-25","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":52.620757999999995,"volume1wk":6465.595132999999,"volume1mo":89691.82289200003,"volume1yr":977683.8097700005,"clobTokenIds":"[\"22094182676612877581056034720566110371610082057092726094559729674155018648896\", \"78473141615408645278260621827323903204731180016962666262959632385172645644801\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":52.620757999999995,"volume1wkClob":6465.595132999999,"volume1moClob":89691.82289200003,"volume1yrClob":977683.8097700005,"volumeClob":983109.0882570049,"liquidityClob":120828.0719,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-25T18:47:41Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8174902028908497,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"361100","conditionId":"0x4c8ceef9b9c0a27b6b4efa7c398ece4a5eeda76502f722de398c232abefe2ede","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-16","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.006,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0325,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.1125,"lastTradePrice":0.026,"bestBid":0.027,"bestAsk":0.028,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-25T18:47:12.499112Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":true,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"568117","question":"Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x448f73e89890ae9d0e42ad0b592f63b53c0ae05d1ca3fa8d80b30027781f1be7","slug":"will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"66887.30676","startDate":"2025-07-25T18:48:12.574083Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-resign-in-2025-xcz2AkFjPF5X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-resign-in-2025-xcz2AkFjPF5X.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0465\", \"0.9535\"]","volume":"524636.9363809976","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0xD4E82534c9d710e3dBD1d10559a89bAeAceA5f79","createdAt":"2025-07-25T18:31:13.211546Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xf089f019a6e13472f9617441bb74e52f4897ad1fd2591514cbda5ff811669ab9","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":524636.9363809976,"liquidityNum":66887.30676,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-07-25","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":618.1920389999999,"volume1wk":7600.743069000001,"volume1mo":28768.766999999996,"volume1yr":519897.80007299996,"clobTokenIds":"[\"82496570332984679554195177789706736795170417640692739176832196524671988217379\", \"74453252193148717007972627387565739933229360141591660605434616142548704822067\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":618.1920389999999,"volume1wkClob":7600.743069000001,"volume1moClob":28768.766999999996,"volume1yrClob":519897.80007299996,"volumeClob":524636.9363809976,"liquidityClob":66887.30676,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-07-25T18:47:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.829419682004641,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"395617","conditionId":"0x448f73e89890ae9d0e42ad0b592f63b53c0ae05d1ca3fa8d80b30027781f1be7","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-24","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.005,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0185,"oneYearPriceChange":-0.0285,"lastTradePrice":0.038,"bestBid":0.044,"bestAsk":0.049,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-07-25T18:47:12.49744Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1068762","question":"Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x9397ebfe71585a4beb75b9562083f44d4335fa2858b7bc9a21d2e231ca4b454c","slug":"will-usdc-hit-50-of-usdt-market-cap-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"350.1631","startDate":"2025-12-30T22:05:20.395Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-usdc-grow-more-than-usdt-in-may-VjZyVB9hLGt4.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-usdc-grow-more-than-usdt-in-may-VjZyVB9hLGt4.png","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's \"historical data\" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily \"Market Cap\" data.\n\nThe daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]","volume":"101671.8598390001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-30T22:04:02.773115Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xeb88ed630489b2a7ae0f7c7e8706ddf158c730b61464ccf22bd18d140eded58c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":101671.8598390001,"liquidityNum":350.1631,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-12-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"92063509161371023588356720867210063473058158748167650409901048666263049686317\", \"51639815615464253806811879048250527088947940655978278010959957844379210492399\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":101671.8598390001,"liquidityClob":350.1631,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-30T22:04:57Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.934382956854867,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.09,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.2,"lastTradePrice":0.23,"bestBid":0.19,"bestAsk":0.28,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-30T22:04:27.499489Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1068728","question":"Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?","conditionId":"0x16fcfe6c4bc8bf2fd210f1e3b5b0d55a2115a437923dc5730d63acb62c3366c9","slug":"will-usdt-market-cap-hit-200b-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"2504.91221","startDate":"2025-12-30T21:51:59.647997Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-usdt-market-cap-hit-by-december-31-IJ3jODgibOfw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-usdt-market-cap-hit-by-december-31-IJ3jODgibOfw.jpg","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's \"historical data\" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily \"Market Cap\" data.\n\nThe daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.45\", \"0.55\"]","volume":"149494.679636","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-30T21:50:42.766813Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x239984d1b8b1bb8af0ec79c4e7378632f615c716765df7e82b48444127e861bb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":149494.679636,"liquidityNum":2504.91221,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-12-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5.6,"volume1wk":15.65,"volume1mo":98.326271,"volume1yr":149494.6796359999,"clobTokenIds":"[\"69170306473064163780812013647523990069387767302750674849421091155270068626385\", \"103355594346838123493217461284154957347949166061676890605566123828867704884418\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5.6,"volume1wkClob":15.65,"volume1moClob":98.326271,"volume1yrClob":149494.6796359999,"volumeClob":149494.679636,"liquidityClob":2504.91221,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-30T21:51:37Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9975062344139651,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.2,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.018,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0065,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.1245,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.3675,"lastTradePrice":0.287,"bestBid":0.35,"bestAsk":0.55,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-30T21:51:06.372988Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2747434","question":"Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?","conditionId":"0x1e5204036bd51e6ca0e0da6221319c5839bd9940782adc6d0f6fa703aa8a3bf4","slug":"will-hamas-agree-to-disarm-by-december-31","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T20:00:00Z","liquidity":"11180.093","startDate":"2026-06-30T21:17:20.924276Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31-qapFZWHfEvne.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31-qapFZWHfEvne.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"disarm\" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.\n\nAnnouncements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.\n\nOnly official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.\n\nPrimary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]","volume":"13471.338962999998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-30T21:13:55.721654Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0x55d158bef7878f243d5ba5c2cc43ce52d8fa57785708f1c261305acbff6219bf","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":13471.338962999998,"liquidityNum":11180.093,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":20.1,"volume1wk":1028.56,"volume1mo":13471.338962999998,"volume1yr":13471.338962999998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"3833250547311424992805456252782158332407335422350263044535636678503072819141\", \"30676432546818066080538703205639237969080188796746196694446265523208566227883\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":20.1,"volume1wkClob":1028.56,"volume1moClob":13471.338962999998,"volume1yrClob":13471.338962999998,"volumeClob":13471.338962999998,"liquidityClob":11180.093,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-30T21:16:32Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8990986535997662,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"743176","conditionId":"0x1e5204036bd51e6ca0e0da6221319c5839bd9940782adc6d0f6fa703aa8a3bf4","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.055,"lastTradePrice":0.16,"bestBid":0.16,"bestAsk":0.17,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-30T21:14:56.240537Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"573656","question":"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x02deb9538f5c123373adaa4ee6217b01745f1662bc902e46ac92f3fe6f8741e8","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"183992.91654","startDate":"2025-08-07T16:29:32.879Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]","volume":"2693221.435119962","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"0x425589857884EB29738051F17b79BDc29d2BFb89","createdAt":"2025-08-07T14:34:08.095389Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"by December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x5ffb6001758f989dc5a6a9ce6dd78554784e022036e2e7dab37038add592f2a8","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2693221.435119962,"liquidityNum":183992.91654,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-08-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":335.442304,"volume1wk":15331.238958,"volume1mo":106852.71838999986,"volume1yr":2693221.435120009,"clobTokenIds":"[\"93694900555669388759405753550770573998169287228984912881955464376232163096213\", \"55119388124180116303253993098894090042427725500010038140578121972388485050538\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":335.442304,"volume1wkClob":15331.238958,"volume1moClob":106852.71838999986,"volume1yrClob":2693221.435120009,"volumeClob":2693221.435119962,"liquidityClob":183992.91654,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-08-07T16:29:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8228448048870399,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"350399","conditionId":"0x02deb9538f5c123373adaa4ee6217b01745f1662bc902e46ac92f3fe6f8741e8","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.035,"bestBid":0.035,"bestAsk":0.037,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-08-07T16:28:24.298673Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2498739","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? ","conditionId":"0x0a7e71104968403d863330abe7a4b7c1871281e96e878761ba49d75d6b6a57a4","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-july-31-2026-20260610221318220-197","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"19716.94418","startDate":"2026-06-10T22:19:59.699Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]","volume":"75338.78628500005","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-10T22:14:26.886404Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x38872c8dd0ee7c0056fc096c34062702aaded5d042b641515730b4fbf7d090ab","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":75338.78628500005,"liquidityNum":19716.94418,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-10","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1992.7196330000002,"volume1wk":10518.926632,"volume1mo":65822.00751800001,"volume1yr":75338.786285,"clobTokenIds":"[\"11280558115936456585904675567640707056155241092370692901368524463925928600842\", \"39556753444993217193532214884429349349511229187713739915516531227083289040316\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1992.7196330000002,"volume1wkClob":10518.926632,"volume1moClob":65822.00751800001,"volume1yrClob":75338.786285,"volumeClob":75338.78628500005,"liquidityClob":19716.94418,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-10T22:19:12Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8025579125789717,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0035,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0225,"lastTradePrice":0.003,"bestBid":0.003,"bestAsk":0.005,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-10T22:14:44.77621Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2850825","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xabe0e41540b70f3535b0d9325a19bc6f8c6bcce0ce27c28636a2e1d5c0c4eda8","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-31-2026-778","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"2894.7284","startDate":"2026-07-08T21:29:15.148Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.3\", \"0.7\"]","volume":"77684.39887099998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-08T21:26:51.511864Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0xcd53c213199b5045af8d6b6b31f632746405a7d347189ab887cfb5d87ab76784","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":77684.39887099998,"liquidityNum":2894.7284,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-08","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5632.554134999999,"volume1wk":33109.29951800001,"volume1mo":77684.398871,"volume1yr":77684.398871,"clobTokenIds":"[\"31380452762865791793264313641563783010295782641131937184752318076265493577821\", \"110227805407315115408276908830556497292857234032945501079570053955010575568037\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5632.554134999999,"volume1wkClob":33109.29951800001,"volume1moClob":77684.398871,"volume1yrClob":77684.398871,"volumeClob":77684.39887099998,"liquidityClob":2894.7284,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-08T21:28:26Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9615384615384615,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"832946","conditionId":"0xabe0e41540b70f3535b0d9325a19bc6f8c6bcce0ce27c28636a2e1d5c0c4eda8","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":50,"startDate":"2026-07-08","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.06,"oneDayPriceChange":0.045,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.03,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.095,"lastTradePrice":0.39,"bestBid":0.27,"bestAsk":0.33,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-08T21:27:25.846195Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2853307","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?","conditionId":"0x4281659f63b898efe2eafb0609530fb4171e65f3fb688272991aff9ad6535981","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-7-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-07T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"11405.78718","startDate":"2026-07-09T01:06:00.912892Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.015\", \"0.985\"]","volume":"27639.848499999982","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-09T01:02:11.433942Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 7, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x944be94f86bf8745a064d16bcb3eaa994c6c3f0625b0e74e586ccbeb1d4f9e55","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":27639.848499999982,"liquidityNum":11405.78718,"endDateIso":"2026-08-07","startDateIso":"2026-07-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2772.781969,"volume1wk":8044.792537,"volume1mo":27639.848500000007,"volume1yr":27639.848500000007,"clobTokenIds":"[\"68568481873925113101730500485459016815517473467507995461329796429942684358502\", \"15829593607068177817416000640266927480650517323998471697922551339809877030566\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2772.781969,"volume1wkClob":8044.792537,"volume1moClob":27639.848500000007,"volume1yrClob":27639.848500000007,"volumeClob":27639.848499999982,"liquidityClob":11405.78718,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-09T01:05:13Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8095691068428829,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.008,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0005,"lastTradePrice":0.011,"bestBid":0.011,"bestAsk":0.019,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T01:04:14.298428Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2853384","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?","conditionId":"0x880d4d315634908ffac985de5cd442ec679beeb25f0166a77bece698f35463f6","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-14-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-14T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"9684.2427","startDate":"2026-07-09T01:06:00.1642Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0685\", \"0.9315\"]","volume":"41129.62859300002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-09T01:02:43.568767Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 14, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0x82cc1d3a598946c008c8eb3fa1bfaff9f8c1e59a863952dbd60fc8315a149770","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":41129.62859300002,"liquidityNum":9684.2427,"endDateIso":"2026-08-14","startDateIso":"2026-07-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3219.5277399999995,"volume1wk":22651.739175999995,"volume1mo":41129.628593,"volume1yr":41129.628593,"clobTokenIds":"[\"75722945944841025747132927752175394594621215690412982658019897681649752651964\", \"107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":3219.5277399999995,"volume1wkClob":22651.739175999995,"volume1moClob":41129.628593,"volume1yrClob":41129.628593,"volumeClob":41129.62859300002,"liquidityClob":9684.2427,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-09T01:05:11Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8430336650741058,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"834070","conditionId":"0x880d4d315634908ffac985de5cd442ec679beeb25f0166a77bece698f35463f6","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":10,"startDate":"2026-07-09","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.015,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0085,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.004,"lastTradePrice":0.061,"bestBid":0.061,"bestAsk":0.076,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T01:04:14.324111Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2853462","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?","conditionId":"0x0dcad5c0b7116b5a04e3f296fc20dd3d4c89f526fcd7c6359e01fa3b600319fb","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-21-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-21T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"8468.8439","startDate":"2026-07-09T01:06:03.977945Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]","volume":"37930.221278000026","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-09T01:03:29.257763Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 21, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x92dbc218d17eb40a7712bbc0ff553c22c41cbca8f49db0f3a27cbd08f4eee0f3","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":37930.221278000026,"liquidityNum":8468.8439,"endDateIso":"2026-08-21","startDateIso":"2026-07-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1809.553622,"volume1wk":22393.975689000006,"volume1mo":37930.22127800002,"volume1yr":37930.22127800002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"66400674029172963210016767714183506890575136611941904502168822081128650403137\", \"114434236085510995054237233904677045467311588809697025483632050941999180071850\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1809.553622,"volume1wkClob":22393.975689000006,"volume1moClob":37930.22127800002,"volume1yrClob":37930.22127800002,"volumeClob":37930.221278000026,"liquidityClob":8468.8439,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-09T01:05:14Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8767123287671234,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"834069","conditionId":"0x0dcad5c0b7116b5a04e3f296fc20dd3d4c89f526fcd7c6359e01fa3b600319fb","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":50,"startDate":"2026-07-09","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.135,"lastTradePrice":0.13,"bestBid":0.12,"bestAsk":0.13,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T01:04:14.295464Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"676829","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x46c8159431f59839061bb4abe8795ff8c0ebf6b612451e303ebe7f34697f3f35","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31-2026-834-362-194-984-527","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"22771.8692","startDate":"2025-11-12T22:08:00.534Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.885\", \"0.115\"]","volume":"84223.36724999997","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-11T18:25:26.901749Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x4ba1ee6cbda738b14822239b55d68511d88c719eb664fb4285a7bfd84f24f25e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":84223.36724999997,"liquidityNum":22771.8692,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-12","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":560.4078149999999,"volume1wk":4779.099981000001,"volume1mo":37271.651623,"volume1yr":84223.36724999998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"31198084272932352525926802046358262783522244061752464952508587771194866686492\", \"3371189346327528760689130963964203715378507847645714047345514497435422774300\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":560.4078149999999,"volume1wkClob":4779.099981000001,"volume1moClob":37271.651623,"volume1yrClob":84223.36724999998,"volumeClob":84223.36724999997,"liquidityClob":22771.8692,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-12T22:07:39Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8709094471902284,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"834071","conditionId":"0x46c8159431f59839061bb4abe8795ff8c0ebf6b612451e303ebe7f34697f3f35","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":20,"startDate":"2026-07-09","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.235,"lastTradePrice":0.89,"bestBid":0.88,"bestAsk":0.89,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-12T22:07:09.526729Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1333258","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?","conditionId":"0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-september-30-2026-543-325-933-952","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"9092.5025","startDate":"2026-02-04T18:11:27.891Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]","volume":"100256.53084199995","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-04T13:43:08.524009Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0xbb60fb54a18ead4f192f41d147ff0d1aed4531389bffb60c43848c80ae6d9c6f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":100256.53084199995,"liquidityNum":9092.5025,"endDateIso":"2026-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-02-04","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5722.3114000000005,"volume1wk":32094.120951,"volume1mo":80800.841806,"volume1yr":100256.5308419999,"clobTokenIds":"[\"82971863320043891986833367061104360861631939120244984019114322661700297642048\", \"39841922967600807878645366356142241043425819214007016730668972738870640660234\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":5722.3114000000005,"volume1wkClob":32094.120951,"volume1moClob":80800.841806,"volume1yrClob":100256.5308419999,"volumeClob":100256.53084199995,"liquidityClob":9092.5025,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-04T18:10:21Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9633679342983069,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"834072","conditionId":"0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":50,"startDate":"2026-07-09","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.04,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.435,"lastTradePrice":0.7,"bestBid":0.69,"bestAsk":0.7,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-04T18:09:07.781746Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2698285","question":"U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?","conditionId":"0xfc98f07ab754678bca09823d33f613aa5edad59008d436c36ba1c380c1b99811","slug":"uptspt-x-russia-nuclear-deal-by-july-31-20260626165517058","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"8018.0169","startDate":"2026-06-26T21:27:12.657697Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-in-2025-CSpSAD1Tn25O.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-in-2025-CSpSAD1Tn25O.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation is reached between the United States and the Russian Federation between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly agreements that are publicly announced and acknowledged by both the U.S. and Russia will qualify. The agreement must pertain to nuclear arms control or limitation—such as a treaty, framework, or memorandum—addressing matters including (but not limited to) nuclear warheads, delivery systems, verification mechanisms, or strategic stability.\n\nAn extension, amendment, or replacement of the New START treaty will qualify, provided it is publicly announced as a concluded agreement by both parties within the time frame. Exploratory discussions or stated intent to extend without a finalized agreement will not qualify.\n\nAgreements that include both the United States and Russia as named parties—whether bilateral or as part of a broader multilateral framework—will qualify, provided the agreement directly addresses nuclear arms control.\n\nThe agreement does not need to be ratified or implemented for this market to resolve \"Yes\"; a formal announcement of a concluded agreement is sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government (e.g., the White House, State Department) and/or the Russian Federation (e.g., the Kremlin, Ministry of Foreign Affairs). However, a clear and overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]","volume":"10131.113530999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-26T20:15:45.171032Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x55e2c0bbe415965acd11c5c74006f4a728447fcd848e2159770678079d00f0bb","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":10131.113530999999,"liquidityNum":8018.0169,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":515.508665,"volume1wk":646.478331,"volume1mo":9943.917076,"volume1yr":10131.113530999999,"clobTokenIds":"[\"26230223804745125273649564792162976932021263324850436165966658372817836484970\", \"15543373643405400332126858271737083990649590710958544116604835664981075665667\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":515.508665,"volume1wkClob":646.478331,"volume1moClob":9943.917076,"volume1yrClob":10131.113530999999,"volumeClob":10131.113530999999,"liquidityClob":8018.0169,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-26T21:26:23Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8038352587867232,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0065,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.002,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.454,"lastTradePrice":0.01,"bestBid":0.001,"bestAsk":0.011,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-26T20:16:04.580123Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2749421","question":"U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x1af095ef153af4a0f126cbb9eb0de1399fd6ba807292928a534925d34538b2af","slug":"us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"42.7926","startDate":"2026-06-30T23:43:55.341569Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-in-2025-CSpSAD1Tn25O.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-in-2025-CSpSAD1Tn25O.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation is reached between the United States and the Russian Federation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly agreements that are publicly announced and acknowledged by both the U.S. and Russia will qualify. The agreement must pertain to nuclear arms control or limitation—such as a treaty, framework, or memorandum—addressing matters including (but not limited to) nuclear warheads, delivery systems, verification mechanisms, or strategic stability.\n\nAn extension, amendment, or replacement of the New START treaty will qualify, provided it is publicly announced as a concluded agreement by both parties within the time frame. Exploratory discussions or stated intent to extend without a finalized agreement will not qualify.\n\nAgreements that include both the United States and Russia as named parties—whether bilateral or as part of a broader multilateral framework—will qualify, provided the agreement directly addresses nuclear arms control.\n\nThe agreement does not need to be ratified or implemented for this market to resolve \"Yes\"; a formal announcement of a concluded agreement is sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government (e.g., the White House, State Department) and/or the Russian Federation (e.g., the Kremlin, Ministry of Foreign Affairs). However, a clear and overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]","volume":"9410.330323","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-30T23:41:30.955512Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0xa9fbc0f94f302909e86b9690e0a62af6c5be25c111e36f22519b442efd62064c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9410.330323,"liquidityNum":42.7926,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":29.588113,"volume1wk":47.007815,"volume1mo":9410.330322999998,"volume1yr":9410.330322999998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"54157248102198932855059501433041509500674777661966513362219747469105836386692\", \"27908267964435582200698870671654830889875864591637401883979484992569820604271\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":29.588113,"volume1wkClob":47.007815,"volume1moClob":9410.330322999998,"volume1yrClob":9410.330322999998,"volumeClob":9410.330323,"liquidityClob":42.7926,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-30T23:43:05Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9248768757659137,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.11,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneHourPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"lastTradePrice":0.13,"bestBid":0.16,"bestAsk":0.27,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-30T23:42:03.980823Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2693968","question":"French election called by July 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xa7b802e6dda4570479e291e5790613ef8097a3b4fc5c082dd9def15ab97bbf23","slug":"french-election-called-by-july-31-2026-20260626154415138","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"7382.67942","startDate":"2026-06-26T16:07:34.485341Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/french-election-called-by-december-31-1A_ISEujCLL7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/french-election-called-by-december-31-1A_ISEujCLL7.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]","volume":"4462.915442000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-26T15:45:18.794085Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 31, 2026","questionID":"0x70fd532c6e3e680c46ba185b32a176f6d5f97ff30df2a08e289fd2ae58523fd4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":4462.915442000001,"liquidityNum":7382.67942,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"98571521626023254277616794663961264272957714283929581410933157488269287329731\", \"23021762669135162188245169488124125952535989623813005714866523220528482435945\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":4462.915442000001,"liquidityClob":7382.67942,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-26T16:06:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8006398713852111,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.004,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.044,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestAsk":0.002,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-26T15:45:35.176837Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1068384","question":"Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x59cbdc98e569c31d3c33517131aa57a0a8d28e412df4a567d7df5b3ae9ec3de8","slug":"will-el-salvador-hold-1b-of-btc-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"98.3631","startDate":"2025-12-30T21:15:20.202Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-el-salvador-hold-1b-of-btc-by-september-30-vnnpVfs9ZUew.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-el-salvador-hold-1b-of-btc-by-september-30-vnnpVfs9ZUew.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify. \n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]","volume":"9988.992707","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-30T21:14:06.765193Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x90e84286b479b0ddf78c68c7e84bca77a3cdeb7a89acb341e89a309b1e2d8c90","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9988.992707,"liquidityNum":98.3631,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-12-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"85050326633307103921116183405959204984545408066775745936128241765963012426383\", \"6388191045056267170217957100365018215195736723213112943581350419506189056936\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":9988.992707,"liquidityClob":98.3631,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-30T21:14:57Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.7075304827716328,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"91007","conditionId":"0x59cbdc98e569c31d3c33517131aa57a0a8d28e412df4a567d7df5b3ae9ec3de8","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-03-02","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.25,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.075,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.07,"lastTradePrice":0.23,"bestBid":0.13,"bestAsk":0.38,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-30T21:14:27.636913Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2698199","question":"Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026","conditionId":"0xe086e879c4271755de2ff8baec4b228373c72163d02a7bf35297fdfd976dd259","slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"1420.5871","startDate":"2026-06-26T20:12:07.680476Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]","volume":"888.001281","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-26T19:59:49.512017Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xa4ff42993f4e96c516fb78766e1d3e055032a2116da5c14ae2ca0d973b622203","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":888.001281,"liquidityNum":1420.5871,"endDateIso":"2026-10-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":226.64,"volume1wk":631.216892,"volume1mo":888.001281,"volume1yr":888.001281,"clobTokenIds":"[\"27431886181882661793729684089930796536309980234243398462351273347197333780234\", \"86323904418031016138679682815616848461311397826838026571211749791272517373927\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":226.64,"volume1wkClob":631.216892,"volume1moClob":888.001281,"volume1yrClob":888.001281,"volumeClob":888.001281,"liquidityClob":1420.5871,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-26T20:11:17Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8347071221385196,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"683653","conditionId":"0xe086e879c4271755de2ff8baec4b228373c72163d02a7bf35297fdfd976dd259","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-06-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.03,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.07,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.385,"lastTradePrice":0.04,"bestBid":0.04,"bestAsk":0.07,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-26T20:00:44.111033Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2698200","question":"Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027?","conditionId":"0x728cd8360fc3706c4c482f6d90cc68b441a4bb1a9d5f030564f478af2200ed02","slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-march-31-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-04-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"304.8518","startDate":"2026-06-26T20:07:53.534479Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. 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Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.305\", \"0.695\"]","volume":"2.1978","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-26T19:59:51.075846Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"March 31, 2027","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x034f618a9ecad24d1c93e689c473f8db17111f9f99bda972865fbbfde7f14186","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2.1978,"liquidityNum":304.8518,"endDateIso":"2027-04-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"7626542735381249404732469872484159970711987054903207227361047648045521172453\", \"12786570114433832446472058133933620080837882274486983122739372746314965189526\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":2.1978,"liquidityClob":304.8518,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-26T20:07:04Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.5876544399219672,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"683654","conditionId":"0x728cd8360fc3706c4c482f6d90cc68b441a4bb1a9d5f030564f478af2200ed02","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-06-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.39,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.195,"bestBid":0.11,"bestAsk":0.5,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-26T20:01:24.202254Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2698201","question":"Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?","conditionId":"0xa5a55871c6e2d7e6f829b880286a86ccc9944f7f799fe26f452cbfda25da7f7e","slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-june-30-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-07-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"153.37","startDate":"2026-06-26T20:29:27.843138Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. 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Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.4\", \"0.6\"]","volume":"37.142856","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-26T19:59:51.875031Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"June 30, 2027","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x269629cf30581804dc6ab82dfd35c879a748e88d6cb7ae633e63f6974d8898e5","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":37.142856,"liquidityNum":153.37,"endDateIso":"2027-07-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"31024365079000539237950982548186524932065611117795828423054585348843496962241\", \"110700282924264471398420369573336720788641297662926444191460057360903544037083\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":37.142856,"liquidityClob":153.37,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-26T20:28:38Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.4158415841584158,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"683659","conditionId":"0xa5a55871c6e2d7e6f829b880286a86ccc9944f7f799fe26f452cbfda25da7f7e","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-06-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.58,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1,"lastTradePrice":0.7,"bestBid":0.11,"bestAsk":0.69,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-26T20:01:44.107474Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"2698202","question":"Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?","conditionId":"0xcc664a6b93592034b9317937012e0e2b126412c7a7924eaa8626a8e4645872b3","slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-10-01T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"154.0434","startDate":"2026-06-26T20:35:59.556067Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by-pCw5cW0J1KxN.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. 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Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]","volume":"14863.509363000006","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-22T21:36:23.828136Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xebb961a136604e4fe83c6358ec4a8c0b825dc31aaa35901ae05795d9bd99a8d3","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":14863.509363000006,"liquidityNum":4039.48646,"startDateIso":"2025-11-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":124,"volume1wk":762.13,"volume1mo":6499.9782449999975,"volume1yr":14863.509363000005,"clobTokenIds":"[\"72750636841574605405487206563918173178146863274250147094493667932708322166254\", \"23734407721982664566939201849439761766477731273397118470832638812112205898239\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":124,"volume1wkClob":762.13,"volume1moClob":6499.9782449999975,"volume1yrClob":14863.509363000005,"volumeClob":14863.509363000006,"liquidityClob":4039.48646,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-22T21:37:31Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8228448048870399,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"100167","conditionId":"0xad6b6fb149c8c50df1ea56e7f3a0fd42b95ada7e178683d51a536235a6b38a3f","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-22","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.014,"oneDayPriceChange":0.004,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.134,"lastTradePrice":0.039,"bestBid":0.029,"bestAsk":0.043,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-22T21:37:04.090773Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1210085","question":"Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?","conditionId":"0xcbeff66b19af9a6d861778d309ab0eb641743cbde146e278642a36e4f1de60da","slug":"will-unit-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"805.744","startDate":"2026-01-17T23:09:20.134433Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-unit-launch-a-token-in-2025-5FEfPHWyU7E7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-unit-launch-a-token-in-2025-5FEfPHWyU7E7.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. 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If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]","volume":"2308489.1068819915","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-17T18:40:20.737836Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Helder Barbalho","groupItemThreshold":"16","questionID":"0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca10","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2308489.1068819915,"liquidityNum":435236.49214,"endDateIso":"2026-10-04","startDateIso":"2025-09-18","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":41.34,"volume1wk":1543.21,"volume1mo":244881.06511799994,"volume1yr":2308489.10688201,"clobTokenIds":"[\"49821018408733695378907631766783388197384982451576409356148180829521508621967\", \"72714416442822965658619792482622498214965370742798513442488186246322155432807\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":41.34,"volume1wkClob":1543.21,"volume1moClob":244881.06511799994,"volume1yrClob":2308489.10688201,"volumeClob":2308489.1068819915,"liquidityClob":435236.49214,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca00","negRiskRequestID":"0x29701bd4a0dbc9e09f1da678df2a6a05eb39b4f73d10d83cd8c80a60c98c12c6","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-18T20:07:54Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.001,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":true,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-18T20:02:14.073699Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"601920","question":"Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?","conditionId":"0x087469b4129c64c688397028059dfd366796adbd426e0079ee4cfdd2e4a07b61","slug":"will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-brazil-election","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"27692.3793","startDate":"2025-09-18T20:02:05.763Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","description":"Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. 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Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","conditionId":"0xa0e7e13b769d1614984d0383d23552efdd18a45ce6ebdae9558de1c296131e16","slug":"will-enzo-fernandez-win-the-2026-ballon-dor","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"398380.02253","startDate":"2025-09-22T23:39:43.891Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0005\", 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Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","conditionId":"0xa4bdfc7ebe7101395c6787d736e59ae9ceef14fa4eef6c4bf43fcb74ce49ca33","slug":"will-bukayo-saka-win-the-2026-ballon-dor","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"449218.98925","startDate":"2025-09-22T23:39:44.145Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.0005\", 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recession by end of 2026?","conditionId":"0xfdc73f10edf0266756686f35b5712cffa828b0940fc015e0426c76c934c2105d","slug":"us-recession-by-end-of-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"14626.1136","startDate":"2025-09-29T22:27:19.597259Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recession-in-2025-01ZjnLjvO4a3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recession-in-2025-01ZjnLjvO4a3.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:\n\n1.  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If on December 31, 2026 the latest estimate for quarterly GDP in Q3 2025 was negative, this market will stay open until the Advance estimate of Q4 2026 is published, at which point it will resolve to \"Yes\" if Q4 2026 was negative or if the NBER declares a recession by then.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official announcements from the NBER and the BEA’s estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly US real GDP from previous quarters as released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]","volume":"1685502.6918159977","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-23T15:06:17.061337Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xfc5d7844d005f5d8c99ac7d54dd7ba561d9768a41ca579cbae6f3ce45794ee7c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1685502.6918159977,"liquidityNum":14626.1136,"endDateIso":"2027-01-31","startDateIso":"2025-09-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":378.643843,"volume1wk":3027.2429279999997,"volume1mo":52595.30005099999,"volume1yr":1685502.691815994,"clobTokenIds":"[\"100379208559626151022751801118534484742123694725746262280150222742563282755057\", \"113732820231608904682346496304917888352004831436510840986547065248348999143469\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":378.643843,"volume1wkClob":3027.2429279999997,"volume1moClob":52595.30005099999,"volume1yrClob":1685502.691815994,"volumeClob":1685502.6918159977,"liquidityClob":14626.1136,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-29T22:26:57Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8738203425375743,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"375593","conditionId":"0xfdc73f10edf0266756686f35b5712cffa828b0940fc015e0426c76c934c2105d","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-18","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.005,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.005,"lastTradePrice":0.11,"bestBid":0.11,"bestAsk":0.13,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-29T22:26:28.053507Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"economics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"3120760","question":"NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94","slug":"nato-x-russia-military-clash-by-october-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"15572.4468","startDate":"2026-07-26T22:31:22.047135Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-DteCDkmbVLj_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-DteCDkmbVLj_.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nInterception of missiles or other one-way attack or loitering munitions (e.g. Shahed drones) which are targeting a 3rd party other than the listed countries or their respective forces will not alone qualify. Shooting down UAVs which are not munitions (e.g. MQ-9, Orlan 10, Orion, Bayraktar TB2, etc.) will qualify.\n\nIntentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.\n\nMilitary contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]","volume":"1567.0007609999998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-26T21:40:55.214426Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"October 31","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x724c3e09b16e4de1f03358ae1222a8d442fe86799c21be423d9cbd31e1648bb3","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":1567.0007609999998,"liquidityNum":15572.4468,"endDateIso":"2026-10-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":457.46291499999995,"volume1wk":1567.0007610000002,"volume1mo":1567.0007610000002,"volume1yr":1567.0007610000002,"clobTokenIds":"[\"90103249718343334756773580827701144244122903469501608441410963092372041632343\", \"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":457.46291499999995,"volume1wkClob":1567.0007610000002,"volume1moClob":1567.0007610000002,"volume1yrClob":1567.0007610000002,"volumeClob":1567.0007609999998,"liquidityClob":15572.4468,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-26T22:30:34Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8908685968819599,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1040587","conditionId":"0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.04,"oneDayPriceChange":0.05,"oneHourPriceChange":0.045,"lastTradePrice":0.11,"bestBid":0.13,"bestAsk":0.17,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-26T22:23:19.00127Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"3120761","question":"NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xcd6c66b11ed8fdbdc1183fb761cf22959c6b481e843a715a7a9f53e22b90d420","slug":"nato-x-russia-military-clash-by-august-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"17154.6898","startDate":"2026-07-26T22:30:56.105434Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-DteCDkmbVLj_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-DteCDkmbVLj_.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nInterception of missiles or other one-way attack or loitering munitions (e.g. Shahed drones) which are targeting a 3rd party other than the listed countries or their respective forces will not alone qualify. Shooting down UAVs which are not munitions (e.g. MQ-9, Orlan 10, Orion, Bayraktar TB2, etc.) will qualify.\n\nIntentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.\n\nMilitary contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]","volume":"3545.003171999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-26T21:41:22.297657Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"August 31","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x67599361d52fc745b67db7b0a1fc7bebf355b0d2181b010db3bbfc993927be11","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3545.003171999999,"liquidityNum":17154.6898,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2376.838752,"volume1wk":3545.003172,"volume1mo":3545.003172,"volume1yr":3545.003172,"clobTokenIds":"[\"2733927677128048321799490995863670177867675864619124917008384829265946209508\", \"73822848958833581920509853766928409035356407100619064692171326316721805299603\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2376.838752,"volume1wkClob":3545.003172,"volume1moClob":3545.003172,"volume1yrClob":3545.003172,"volumeClob":3545.003171999999,"liquidityClob":17154.6898,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-26T22:30:07Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8620689655172414,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1040588","conditionId":"0xcd6c66b11ed8fdbdc1183fb761cf22959c6b481e843a715a7a9f53e22b90d420","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.04,"oneDayPriceChange":0.045,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"lastTradePrice":0.08,"bestBid":0.08,"bestAsk":0.12,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-26T22:23:19.002801Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1090496","question":"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52","slug":"nato-x-russia-military-clash-by-december-31-2026-244-538-582","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"69493.7928","startDate":"2026-01-13T19:24:08.322Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-DteCDkmbVLj_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025-DteCDkmbVLj_.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between January 2, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nInterception of missiles or other one-way attack or loitering munitions (e.g. Shahed drones) which are targeting a 3rd party other than the listed countries or their respective forces will not alone qualify. Shooting down UAVs which are not munitions (e.g. MQ-9, Orlan 10, Orion, Bayraktar TB2, etc.) will qualify.\n\nIntentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.\n\nMilitary contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]","volume":"879055.5144590031","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-02T21:55:53.076559Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0x8c515fc217d6f969966032b7a3a54ccd8f414b6d177f7f3ae8e14a76cc4e9fe5","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":879055.5144590031,"liquidityNum":69493.7928,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":7356.64533,"volume1wk":191567.44873399995,"volume1mo":536617.7237319999,"volume1yr":879055.5144589997,"clobTokenIds":"[\"105031123790227090351610621121319179238510007553875150023320472711583933704999\", \"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":7356.64533,"volume1wkClob":191567.44873399995,"volume1moClob":536617.7237319999,"volume1yrClob":879055.5144589997,"volumeClob":879055.5144590031,"liquidityClob":69493.7928,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-13T19:23:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.934382956854867,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"399777","conditionId":"0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.05,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.05,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.03,"lastTradePrice":0.25,"bestBid":0.23,"bestAsk":0.24,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-13T19:19:48.739181Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"2374271","question":"Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0","slug":"will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"147364.4976","startDate":"2026-05-27T22:15:04.059Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026--xNOyR0lcMvz.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026--xNOyR0lcMvz.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours\", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify. \n\nThe border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify. \n\nOnce Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]","volume":"2440627.127472998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-27T22:11:51.034213Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x527d10748426212005dbe6a618b588d736f4c68e52ef50e958c6674253a4e5ba","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2440627.127472998,"liquidityNum":147364.4976,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2980.508233,"volume1wk":45506.937223000015,"volume1mo":1331254.6421889993,"volume1yr":2440627.1274730023,"clobTokenIds":"[\"67011482977279466154940850972585572311207926803952896052113224614375102184687\", \"72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2980.508233,"volume1wkClob":45506.937223000015,"volume1moClob":1331254.6421889993,"volume1yrClob":2440627.1274730023,"volumeClob":2440627.127472998,"liquidityClob":147364.4976,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-27T22:14:08Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"403772","conditionId":"0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":10,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.04,"lastTradePrice":0.09,"bestBid":0.09,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-27T22:13:01.136733Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1"},{"id":"1243588","question":"Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xf31dc5f107bb556840fffa2bd0a503f891d82e61b0b7764e60cd92faec52a919","slug":"will-tesla-release-optimus-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"..","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"5216.8668","startDate":"2026-01-22T21:19:42.886563Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tesla-release-optimus-by-june-30-2026-EvmB8xs54uhD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tesla-release-optimus-by-june-30-2026-EvmB8xs54uhD.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.\n\nTo be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]","volume":"9557.423710000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-22T18:40:18.951681Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xc8cf90ca092eafe8b9994791a990cd3740e7d1b1c232e43c239f3fd782850a8e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9557.423710000001,"liquidityNum":5216.8668,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":94.625,"volume1wk":527.9954680000001,"volume1mo":1593.7678460000002,"volume1yr":9557.423710000006,"clobTokenIds":"[\"82810327953012498612382200175108254608097289209592945267796930988226249448409\", \"16838256597398998291202588470738646116436652176742659727357735781336617089713\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":94.625,"volume1wkClob":527.9954680000001,"volume1moClob":1593.7678460000002,"volume1yrClob":9557.423710000006,"volumeClob":9557.423710000001,"liquidityClob":5216.8668,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-22T21:19:20Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8908685968819599,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"991963","conditionId":"0xf31dc5f107bb556840fffa2bd0a503f891d82e61b0b7764e60cd92faec52a919","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":10,"startDate":"2026-07-22","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.065,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.06,"lastTradePrice":0.14,"bestBid":0.14,"bestAsk":0.16,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-22T21:18:52.527706Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"616902","question":"Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?","conditionId":"0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527","slug":"will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"80836.32348","startDate":"2025-09-29T22:24:45.988997Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. 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This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]","volume":"3572592.283090901","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-29T13:23:24.962964Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"12+ (300+ bps)","groupItemThreshold":"12","questionID":"0xdcd7daabcacdc4ecf4f9a48d0a2708b52f356dd086c8070992136da62eb72b0c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":3572592.283090901,"liquidityNum":66211.92267,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-09-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":4540.188038,"volume1wk":28954.638086000003,"volume1mo":347261.1617919998,"volume1yr":3572594.6224469524,"clobTokenIds":"[\"9348234470735473071085620208817441102005165766524508452759679947551704787649\", \"27203305404978223030553317971682713734658336588968050686197281149875057661426\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":4540.188038,"volume1wkClob":28954.638086000003,"volume1moClob":347261.1617919998,"volume1yrClob":3572594.6224469524,"volumeClob":3572592.283090901,"liquidityClob":66211.92267,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xdcd7daabcacdc4ecf4f9a48d0a2708b52f356dd086c8070992136da62eb72b00","negRiskRequestID":"0xc3a06ee1ded6a961006ebb6986143f14c1e33321ad7658fde1e6dff483aa1d2e","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-29T22:24:39Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8031967229573703,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0015,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0015,"lastTradePrice":0.007,"bestBid":0.004,"bestAsk":0.006,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-29T22:08:49.970451Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"economics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"618454","question":"Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?","conditionId":"0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch-221-468-166-873-514-375-468-384","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"17285.73111","startDate":"2025-09-30T17:19:46.624Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.1505\", \"0.8495\"]","volume":"2245218.9547659876","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-30T17:18:04.646996Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$500M ","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x47b012697a37cdc7f31ff69cd12315de7026f0618ba130d8c42396f941c7045b","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2245218.9547659876,"liquidityNum":17285.73111,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-09-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2124.187666,"volume1wk":7023.066330999998,"volume1mo":60057.19446600005,"volume1yr":2245218.954765997,"clobTokenIds":"[\"42645635688384173938505005153732536262139883933750646945028210271328873690888\", \"91676177432668319691663213694187810112009835951397620031461215327421238319426\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2124.187666,"volume1wkClob":7023.066330999998,"volume1moClob":60057.19446600005,"volume1yrClob":2245218.954765997,"volumeClob":2245218.9547659876,"liquidityClob":17285.73111,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-30T17:19:25Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8911462613852289,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"590899","conditionId":"0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.031,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.056,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.176,"lastTradePrice":0.15,"bestBid":0.15,"bestAsk":0.151,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-30T17:18:55.549363Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"618455","question":"Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?","conditionId":"0xe67c947bf8eeb8dffdeea19806cf266fe65f6d20f3e5bbf5135e11e544fe9b7f","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch-426-422-754-756-879-328-494","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"16439.4496","startDate":"2025-09-30T17:19:50.674Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]","volume":"2063311.871093996","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-30T17:18:05.328129Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$1B","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x64fa35942594e925ecd595411570adde95fcc613ff9cbafc5445539023c9be89","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":2063311.871093996,"liquidityNum":16439.4496,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-09-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":217.79363199999997,"volume1wk":6844.433549,"volume1mo":36191.507582000006,"volume1yr":2063311.8710939982,"clobTokenIds":"[\"55736535775539231856682158017890031261644294952589300517957218393676136917293\", \"71718402031669298364238907670733752499185585238670546354636156779359681992646\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":217.79363199999997,"volume1wkClob":6844.433549,"volume1moClob":36191.507582000006,"volume1yrClob":2063311.8710939982,"volumeClob":2063311.871093996,"liquidityClob":16439.4496,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-30T17:19:29Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8795848359574281,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"596462","conditionId":"0xe67c947bf8eeb8dffdeea19806cf266fe65f6d20f3e5bbf5135e11e544fe9b7f","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-26","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.055,"lastTradePrice":0.14,"bestBid":0.12,"bestAsk":0.14,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-30T17:18:55.561855Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"618456","question":"Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?","conditionId":"0xa75027ddbd883169b0fef4779c912106fe9460536240a1d613d175f04b75ca25","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-3b-one-day-after-launch-786-419-967-433-241-436","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"17297.39798","startDate":"2025-09-30T17:19:49.622Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.047\", \"0.953\"]","volume":"801119.880448","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-09-30T17:18:05.970537Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$3B","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x36e1163bb10c0844a59f1f82cdf23f1811f7314dce2c775df79f01d90f1e9780","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":801119.880448,"liquidityNum":17297.39798,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-09-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":453.657316,"volume1wk":2164.245575,"volume1mo":12509.123942999999,"volume1yr":801119.8804479998,"clobTokenIds":"[\"10354824396290237452261900772542438328647475212250295212595180489652143431127\", \"83261092708741880503037907376981005952477099100574431635229306895516342056435\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":453.657316,"volume1wkClob":2164.245575,"volume1moClob":12509.123942999999,"volume1yrClob":801119.8804479998,"volumeClob":801119.880448,"liquidityClob":17297.39798,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-09-30T17:19:27Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8297316067171752,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"616252","conditionId":"0xa75027ddbd883169b0fef4779c912106fe9460536240a1d613d175f04b75ca25","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-29","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.004,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0045,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0215,"lastTradePrice":0.045,"bestBid":0.045,"bestAsk":0.049,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-09-30T17:18:55.551927Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"620682","question":"Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?","conditionId":"0xc20be6636f316125da44ca53f6631cc00086e9fba8e1ad8d9012ae20ee7006a8","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-5b-one-day-after-launch-919-666-825-992-543-333","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"18647.54478","startDate":"2025-10-03T15:15:58.738Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]","volume":"477476.27526399906","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-03T15:14:55.519481Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$5B","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x431aa5e0e53b848d91ec8205ca69fa2e03dbc0e3d307c825e0f1158b49ca043d","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":477476.27526399906,"liquidityNum":18647.54478,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-10-03","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1776.22,"volume1wk":2540.66205,"volume1mo":14721.131082000002,"volume1yr":477476.27526400035,"clobTokenIds":"[\"48038385638420877977396364502718350116889021443391903481044114768441218972760\", \"7742946842895540103245705204391121242771062476077199058127347573343705347619\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1776.22,"volume1wkClob":2540.66205,"volume1moClob":14721.131082000002,"volume1yrClob":477476.27526400035,"volumeClob":477476.27526399906,"liquidityClob":18647.54478,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-03T15:15:38Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8228448048870399,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"616262","conditionId":"0xc20be6636f316125da44ca53f6631cc00086e9fba8e1ad8d9012ae20ee7006a8","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.006,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.028,"lastTradePrice":0.038,"bestBid":0.035,"bestAsk":0.037,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-03T15:15:07.46385Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"936450","question":"Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?","conditionId":"0xb8a8833f60836f1a4860727dfebed0cb0fc59a6f9cd22ec840a2e7f6a7dbb2a3","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch-771-639-367-482-177-837","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"23866.1043","startDate":"2025-12-14T21:16:26.74Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. 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Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.2045\", \"0.7955\"]","volume":"116677.13547800003","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-08T23:27:50.424604Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$100M","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x3793b1f9f29e698e880cae072ca961b583b1021fa6a35b7b1e97507be4c46e89","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":116677.13547800003,"liquidityNum":13672.71577,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-03-08","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1160.64,"volume1wk":4120.009215000001,"volume1mo":24696.711213000002,"volume1yr":116677.13547799992,"clobTokenIds":"[\"15390584632108771016450588704807221443840679092964759511537241445184106992060\", \"33658047392919238444353129436813170820769777551810148530519389731519208048432\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1160.64,"volume1wkClob":4120.009215000001,"volume1moClob":24696.711213000002,"volume1yrClob":116677.13547799992,"volumeClob":116677.13547800003,"liquidityClob":13672.71577,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-08T23:30:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9196922433845962,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"615975","conditionId":"0x77a4012e47d506eee2a992032c11dab236bb56cac17a994bc2db3f7467cd97d1","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-07-28","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.011,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0095,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0225,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.1635,"lastTradePrice":0.199,"bestBid":0.199,"bestAsk":0.21,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-08T23:29:31.668191Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1535124","question":"Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?","conditionId":"0xe98dcebda874fe4bddc1d55a86e2d44c59faad0a58b2d87f4e5c0962fdd6c953","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-300m-one-day-after-launch-444-132-763-296","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"9510.0314","startDate":"2026-03-08T23:31:54.955Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/opensea-airdrop-before-april-NL2BT2uLD5Ny.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]","volume":"79816.05694","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-08T23:28:20.196928Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$300M","groupItemThreshold":"2","questionID":"0x5c5764ef46f6d8483577689a31da9581d24199b750a5ef6ef97e1d044e7c3a89","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":79816.05694,"liquidityNum":9510.0314,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-03-08","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":196.89,"volume1wk":1742.362221,"volume1mo":9421.330207,"volume1yr":79816.05694000001,"clobTokenIds":"[\"46636592743319383924405256772168587714503779223013840936712367884124732324660\", \"35420552064573957890054377289453060181883377972622279203964713014618594895479\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":196.89,"volume1wkClob":1742.362221,"volume1moClob":9421.330207,"volume1yrClob":79816.05694000001,"volumeClob":79816.05694,"liquidityClob":9510.0314,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-08T23:30:47Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9044657998869418,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"615978","conditionId":"0xe98dcebda874fe4bddc1d55a86e2d44c59faad0a58b2d87f4e5c0962fdd6c953","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-24","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.025,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.19,"lastTradePrice":0.18,"bestBid":0.17,"bestAsk":0.18,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-08T23:29:31.66678Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1"},{"id":"1090190","question":"GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x0cb565e64adf218ced0640e9e6190b36e5cf18870b7b7254c792a8cd90136cbc","slug":"gop-uses-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"1167.9172","startDate":"2026-01-02T22:35:52.868507Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster-Kddw_ewxh0G6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster-Kddw_ewxh0G6.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve \"No\".\n\nConfirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]","volume":"5541.512915000002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-01-02T21:16:30.805322Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:20:30.795113Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0xcabee6f00126bacde74598c18ead1d00809737668c8c0ef99da9681f535381f2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":5541.512915000002,"liquidityNum":1167.9172,"endDateIso":"2026-03-31","startDateIso":"2026-01-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":"[\"74107397498677748358788981338872770990986891527997529881194144858053459361311\", \"51934659473229616633979925778638522086339145112323753438764061374489696583019\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":5541.512915000002,"liquidityClob":1167.9172,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-01-02T22:35:31Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8709094471902284,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":3.5,"spread":0.09,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.03,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.035,"lastTradePrice":0.14,"bestBid":0.07,"bestAsk":0.16,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-01-02T22:35:00.472372Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"629183","question":"Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?","conditionId":"0xaf874c80349379303164629c3962b1456f667ca1d44edf95e0474dd13483a4b3","slug":"will-the-democrat-win-the-arizona-governor-race-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","liquidity":"17454.732","startDate":"2025-10-13T23:27:37.012386Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-JJ9h02JGR09z.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-JJ9h02JGR09z.png","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.","outcomes":"[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","outcomePrices":"[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]","volume":"25776.51206999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-10-09T21:48:38.980236Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-29T10:18:17.608064Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Democrat","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x1304dee4404b41f5a1ad69a78f1516d3ee85ed8015e245c041795f35d17a4b00","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":25776.51206999999,"liquidityNum":17454.732,"startDateIso":"2025-10-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":3.84,"volume1wk":203.84,"volume1mo":1443.8510879999997,"volume1yr":25776.51207,"clobTokenIds":"[\"48368039124533504674394545622809320495392482760644292167644042386014017726777\", \"2523036761393218729489135332182856159698268685360641264822465280431935747282\"]","comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"2500","umaReward":"20","volume24hrClob":3.84,"volume1wkClob":203.84,"volume1moClob":1443.8510879999997,"volume1yrClob":25776.51207,"volumeClob":25776.51206999999,"liquidityClob":17454.732,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x1304dee4404b41f5a1ad69a78f1516d3ee85ed8015e245c041795f35d17a4b00","negRiskRequestID":"0x2b7a11757d29285def330d2a4d7922638102f6175327ef0514c81a2a87f68daf","ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-10-13T23:27:15Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9248768757659137,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"38145","conditionId":"0xaf874c80349379303164629c3962b1456f667ca1d44edf95e0474dd13483a4b3","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-07-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.78,"bestBid":0.78,"bestAsk":0.79,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-10-13T22:38:34.551413Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1"},{"id":"629184","question":"Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?","conditionId":"0x8ccbfc876e2f979a0ab1423589abea04bb71512cc6bd5d9dbeef7f820b8f8e69","slug":"will-the-republican-win-the-arizona-governor-race-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","liquidity":"16936.3183","startDate":"2025-10-13T23:27:38.055056Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-republican-party-control-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-JSsqogfn0U0u.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-republican-party-control-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-JSsqogfn0U0u.png","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. 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Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. 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